UTSA
7-0
29
Florida Atlantic
6-0
60
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | FAU | EV | UTSA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +6.5 | -102 | -2.2% | -118 | -2.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +7.5 | -120 | -2.6% | -102 | -2.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +7 | -112 | -2.6% | -105 | -1.1% |
| Caesars ↗ | +6.5 | -103 | -2.4% | -116 | -1.9% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +7.5 | -115 | -1.7% | -105 | -2.8% |
| Book | FAU | EV | UTSA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +215 | +0.1% | -265 | -3.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +225 | +1.7% | -275 | -3.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +210 | -0.7% | -250 | -2.3% |
| Caesars ↗ | +210 | -0.7% | -260 | -2.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +240 | +4.1% | -290 | -4.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 72.5 | -110 | -0.8% | -110 | -3.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 71.5 | -114 | +0.5% | -106 | -5.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 72.5 | -108 | -0.3% | -110 | -3.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | 72.5 | -110 | -0.8% | -109 | -3.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 72.5 | -110 | -0.8% | -110 | -3.8% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 7 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 29 |
| FAU | 21 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 60 |
C. Veltkamp pass to E. Messer for 6 yds, for a TD (C. Rogers KICK)
FAU
0–7
O. McCown pass to M. Anderson for 20 yds, for a TD (M. Petro KICK)
UTSA
7–7
E. Messer pass to AJ Johnson for 14 yds, for a TD (C. Rogers KICK)
FAU
7–14
C. Veltkamp pass to E. Messer for 15 yds, for a TD (C. Rogers KICK)
FAU
7–21
A. Peterson run for 52 yds, for a TD (M. Petro PAT MISSED)
UTSA
13–21
AJ Johnson run for 4 yds, for a TD (C. Rogers KICK)
FAU
13–28
O. McCown pass to M. Anderson for 45 yds, for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
UTSA
19–28
C. Veltkamp pass to L. Farrow for 18 yds, for a TD (C. Rogers KICK)
FAU
19–35
M. Petro 54 yd FG GOOD
UTSA
22–35
AJ Johnson run for 4 yds, for a TD (C. Veltkamp pass to K. Valsin GOOD for Two-Point Conversion)
FAU
22–43
O. McCown pass to I. Butler-Tanner for 26 yds, for a TD (M. Petro KICK)
UTSA
29–43
L. Farrow run for 59 yds, for a TD (C. Rogers KICK)
FAU
29–50
C. Veltkamp pass to E. Messer for 6 yds, for a TD (C. Rogers KICK)
FAU
29–57
A. Grace 37 yd FG GOOD
FAU
29–60
| UTSA | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | 2PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen McCown | 20/35 | 265 | 7.6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Tennison | 1/2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FAU | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | 2PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Veltkamp | 17/25 | 210 | 8.4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Easton Messer | 1/1 | 14 | 14.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Venue
Flagler Credit Union Stadium, Boca Raton, FL
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 31.8%
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NCAAF
Final · UTSA 29–60 FAU ·
AccuScore's simulation makes UTSA 68% to beat Florida Atlantic (32%). Final score: UTSA 29, Florida Atlantic 60.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes UTSA the more likely winner at 68%. The game finished UTSA 29, Florida Atlantic 60.
AccuScore's simulation gives Florida Atlantic a 32% chance of beating UTSA, against 68% for UTSA. It finished Florida Atlantic 60, UTSA 29.
UTSA (7-2 so far) project to finish 9.0–3.0 and make the College Football Playoff in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Florida Atlantic (6-3 so far) project to finish 7.5–4.5 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 9.0–3.0 | 29% | 5% |
| Florida Atlantic | 7.5–4.5 | <1% | <1% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How UTSA and Florida Atlantic come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
UTSA have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
Florida Atlantic have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 4 times since 2014: UTSA 1, Florida Atlantic 3. The last meeting, on Oct 19, 2024, finished Florida Atlantic 24, UTSA 38.
UTSA are 49-18 as favourite and 22-58 as underdog, and 34-48 on the road (41% of 82 games, 2012–2026).
Florida Atlantic are 45-22 as favourite and 18-68 as underdog, and 41-35 at home (54% of 76 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | UTSA | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 49-18 | 45-22 |
| As underdog | 22-58 | 18-68 |
| At home | 43-31 | 41-35 |
| On the road | 34-48 | 23-64 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →