NCAAF
Final · JMU 54–23 USM ·
James Madison
8-0
54
Southern Miss
3-0
23
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | USM | EV | JMU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +14 | -118 | -6.6% | -102 | +2.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +13.5 | -110 | -6.7% | -110 | +2.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +13.5 | -108 | -6.3% | -110 | +2.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | +13.5 | -112 | -7.1% | -108 | +2.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +14.5 | -115 | -4.8% | -105 | +0.4% |
| Book | USM | EV | JMU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +440 | -5.2% | -600 | -1.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +420 | -6.8% | -550 | -0.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +425 | -6.4% | -550 | -0.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | +450 | -4.3% | -625 | -1.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +475 | -2.3% | -750 | -2.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 58.5 | -102 | +4.8% | -118 | -8.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 57.5 | -112 | +4.7% | -108 | -9.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 57.5 | -112 | +4.7% | -105 | -8.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | 58 | -110 | +4.0% | -109 | -8.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 57.5 | -115 | +4.0% | -105 | -8.8% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 54 |
| USM | 0 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 23 |
M. Suarez 32 yd FG GOOD
JMU
3–0
JC Evans run for 3 yds, for a TD (M. Suarez KICK)
JMU
10–0
J. White run for 3 yds, for a TD (C. Wilbanks KICK)
USM
10–7
M. Suarez 31 yd FG GOOD
JMU
13–7
S. Robinson run for 2 yds, for a TD (C. Wilbanks KICK) (C. Wilbanks PAT MISSED) (C. Wilbanks PAT MISSED), Southern Miss Penalty, holding (10 Yards) (C
USM
13–14
M. Suarez 40 yd FG GOOD
JMU
16–14
JC Evans run for 16 yds, for a TD (M. Suarez KICK)
JMU
23–14
JC Evans run for 2 yds, for a TD (M. Suarez KICK)
JMU
30–14
JC Evans pass to S. Cromwell for 16 yds, for a TD (M. Suarez KICK)
JMU
37–14
J. McCarter run for 30 yds, for a TD (M. Suarez KICK)
JMU
44–14
J. White pass to M. Sanders for 34 yds, for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) (Two-Point Conversion failed), K. Willis return
USM
44–20
C. Coleman pass to M. Scott for 26 yds, for a TD (M. Suarez KICK)
JMU
51–20
C. Wilbanks 29 yd FG GOOD
USM
51–23
M. Suarez 34 yd FG GOOD
JMU
54–23
| JMU | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | 2PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Evans | 19/26 | 251 | 9.7 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Camden Coleman | 4/4 | 72 | 18.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Arrington Maiden | 0/1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| USM | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | 2PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John White | 22/35 | 266 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Venue
M. M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 54.6%
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AccuScore's simulation makes James Madison 83% to beat Southern Miss (17%). Final score: James Madison 54, Southern Miss 23.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes James Madison the more likely winner at 83%. The game finished James Madison 54, Southern Miss 23.
AccuScore's simulation gives Southern Miss a 17% chance of beating James Madison, against 83% for James Madison. It finished Southern Miss 23, James Madison 54.
James Madison (8-2 so far) project to finish 9.4–2.6 and make the College Football Playoff in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Southern Miss (3-6 so far) project to finish 3.8–8.2 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison | 9.4–2.6 | 62% | 4% |
| Southern Miss | 3.8–8.2 | <1% | 0% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How James Madison and Southern Miss come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
James Madison have won 3 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
Southern Miss have won 2 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2024: James Madison 1, Southern Miss 0. The last meeting, on Oct 26, 2024, finished Southern Miss 15, James Madison 32.
Southern Miss are 39-24 as favourite and 19-66 as underdog, and 28-44 at home (39% of 72 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | JMU | USM |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | — | 39-24 |
| As underdog | — | 19-66 |
| At home | — | 28-44 |
| On the road | — | 30-54 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →