NCAAF
Texas A&M
4-0
South Carolina
5-0
Win Probability
Undefeated South Carolina hosts undefeated Texas A&M in a matchup where the model favours the Gamecocks clearly. The simulation projects LaNorris Sellers to reach 190 passing yards with a 49% probability, while Marcel Reed is expected to fall short at 170—a gap that reflects South Carolina's offensive advantage. Texas A&M's ground game, anchored by KJ Edwards at 50 projected rushing yards, needs to establish rhythm against a defense that forces the Aggies into passing situations they cannot sustain. On games shaped this way across the AccuScore record, the favoured side won 66% of the time. For Texas A&M to pull the upset, the Aggies would need Edwards and their supporting backs to impose a ground attack that keeps Sellers off the field.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
1H TA&M ML
TA&M +188
+4.8% EV
35.4% leads · push 7.6%
FanDuel ↗
1H SC ML
SC -198
-3.3% EV
56.9% leads · push 7.6%
DraftKings ↗
2-way moneyline: a tie at the half returns the stake, so the tie is priced as a push.
| Book | Line | SC | EV | TA&M | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -7 | -102 | -3.4% | -118 | -1.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -6.5 | -120 | -5.5% | -102 | +1.0% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -6.5 | -112 | -4.1% | -105 | +0.3% |
| Caesars ↗ | -7 | -108 | -4.6% | -112 | +0.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -6.5 | -110 | -3.7% | -110 | -0.8% |
| Book | SC | EV | TA&M | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -265 | -4.1% | +215 | +2.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -250 | -3.4% | +205 | +0.9% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -250 | -3.4% | +210 | +1.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | -260 | -3.9% | +210 | +1.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -250 | -3.4% | +210 | +1.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 52.5 | -108 | -0.8% | -112 | -3.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 51.5 | -115 | +0.1% | -104 | -4.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 52.5 | -105 | -0.1% | -112 | -3.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | 52.5 | -102 | +0.6% | -116 | -4.5% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 53.5 | -110 | -3.8% | -110 | -0.8% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 33.4%
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AccuScore's simulation makes South Carolina 67% to beat Texas A&M (33%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes South Carolina the more likely winner at 67%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives South Carolina a 67% chance of beating Texas A&M, against 33% for Texas A&M. South Carolina are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Texas A&M (4-4 so far) project to finish 5.7–6.3 and make the College Football Playoff in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
South Carolina (5-3 so far) project to finish 7.4–4.6 and make the College Football Playoff in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M | 5.7–6.3 | 0% | 1% |
| South Carolina | 7.4–4.6 | <1% | 9% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How Texas A&M and South Carolina come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Texas A&M have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-L, most recent first).
South Carolina have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 11 times since 2014: Texas A&M 9, South Carolina 2. The last meeting, on Nov 15, 2025, finished South Carolina 30, Texas A&M 31.
Texas A&M are 81-26 as favourite and 14-35 as underdog, and 33-34 on the road (49% of 67 games, 2011–2026).
South Carolina are 54-19 as favourite and 29-55 as underdog, and 62-32 at home (66% of 94 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | TA&M | SC |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 81-26 | 54-19 |
| As underdog | 14-35 | 29-55 |
| At home | 66-31 | 62-32 |
| On the road | 33-34 | 28-44 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →