Clemson
5-0
Syracuse
4-0
Win Probability
Clemson travels to face Syracuse in a matchup between undefeated teams where the simulation leans slightly toward the Tigers. Tait Reynolds projects for 180 passing yards while Steve Angeli is expected to manage just 70, a gap that defines how this game likely unfolds. The difference in passing volume reflects what the model sees as Clemson's offensive advantage, though Syracuse's Ahmad Miller and his projected 55 rushing yards suggest the home side will lean on ground attack. On games shaped this way, AccuScore's favoured side won 55% of the time across 2,687 graded contests. For Syracuse to pull off the upset, it would need Clemson's passing game to stall while the Orange's ground game finds more than the model expects.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
1H CLEM ML
CLEM -120
-0.7% EV
49.2% leads · push 8.5%
BetMGM ↗
1H SYR ML
SYR +110
-1.3% EV
42.4% leads · push 8.5%
Hard Rock Bet ↗
2-way moneyline: a tie at the half returns the stake, so the tie is priced as a push.
1H Spread
CLEM -0.5 -102
-1.3% EV
49.2% covers
DraftKings ↗
1H Spread
SYR +0.5 -110
-1.5% EV
50.8% covers
betPARX ↗
1H Total
O 24.5 +100
-2.0% EV
48.0% over
BetMGM ↗
1H Total
U 24.5 -115
-1.4% EV
52.0% under
Caesars ↗
| Book | Line | SYR | EV | CLEM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +2.5 | -115 | -2.4% | -105 | -2.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +2.5 | -115 | -2.4% | -105 | -2.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +2 | -108 | -2.4% | -110 | -1.6% |
| Caesars ↗ | +2 | -108 | -2.4% | -112 | -2.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +1.5 | -105 | -3.4% | -115 | -1.1% |
| Book | SYR | EV | CLEM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +110 | -2.9% | -130 | -1.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +104 | -4.2% | -126 | -0.6% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +110 | -2.9% | -130 | -1.3% |
| Caesars ↗ | +112 | -2.4% | -132 | -1.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +115 | -1.7% | -135 | -2.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 49.5 | -110 | -2.7% | -110 | -1.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 49.5 | -114 | -3.5% | -106 | -1.0% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 49.5 | -110 | -2.7% | -108 | -1.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 49.5 | -113 | -3.3% | -106 | -1.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 49.5 | -110 | -2.7% | -110 | -1.9% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Clemson 55% to beat Syracuse (45%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Clemson the more likely winner at 55%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Syracuse a 45% chance of beating Clemson, against 55% for Clemson. Syracuse are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Clemson (5-3 so far) project to finish 7.2–4.8 and make the College Football Playoff in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Syracuse (4-4 so far) project to finish 5.5–6.5 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How Clemson and Syracuse come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Clemson have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
Syracuse have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 11 times since 2013: Clemson 9, Syracuse 2. The last meeting, on Sep 20, 2025, finished Syracuse 34, Clemson 21.
Clemson are 125-19 as favourite and 14-12 as underdog, and 65-17 on the road (79% of 82 games, 2011–2026).
Syracuse are 31-14 as favourite and 31-78 as underdog, and 40-45 at home (47% of 85 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | CLEM | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 125-19 | 31-14 |
| As underdog | 14-12 | 31-78 |
| At home | 79-17 | 40-45 |
| On the road | 65-17 | 28-49 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →