NCAAF • Sat, Nov 7, 17:00
Undefeated UCLA travels to face undefeated Minnesota in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the Bruins. Drake Lindsey is projected for 180 passing yards against a UCLA defense that will lean on Wayne Knight to generate 60 rushing yards, but the decisive factor is Minnesota's passing game: if Lindsey can't consistently connect downfield, the Golden Gophers will struggle to keep pace. AccuScore's model favored sides this strongly in 2,499 graded games and won 66% of them.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes UCLA 61% to beat Minnesota (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes UCLA the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Minnesota a 39% chance of beating UCLA, against 61% for UCLA. Minnesota are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
UCLA (8-0 so far) project to finish 10.5–1.5 and make the College Football Playoff in 59% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Minnesota (5-3 so far) project to finish 6.5–5.5 and make the College Football Playoff in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How UCLA and Minnesota come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
UCLA have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
Minnesota have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2024: UCLA 0, Minnesota 1. The last meeting, on Oct 11, 2024, finished Minnesota 21, UCLA 17.
UCLA are 67-24 as favourite and 22-52 as underdog, and 39-42 on the road (48% of 81 games, 2011–2026).
Minnesota are 56-14 as favourite and 34-58 as underdog, and 61-32 at home (66% of 93 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | UCLA | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 67-24 | 56-14 |
| As underdog | 22-52 | 34-58 |
| At home | 54-37 | 61-32 |
| On the road | 39-42 | 34-42 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →