NCAAF • Sat, Nov 7, 17:00
Undefeated Tulsa travels to face undefeated Tulane in a matchup the simulation views as a coin-flip, with the Golden Hurricane holding a razor-thin lean. Both offences will likely revolve around their quarterbacks: Trace Johnson is projected for 170 passing yards, as is Baylor Hayes, but Tulane's ground game offers a second dimension through Johnnie Daniels, who projects for 55 rushing yards. The margin between these teams is so slim that Tulsa would need only marginal efficiency gains on the road to pull the upset.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Tulsa 51% to beat Tulane (49%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Tulsa the more likely winner at 51%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Tulane a 49% chance of beating Tulsa, against 51% for Tulsa. Tulane are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Tulsa (4-4 so far) project to finish 6.2–5.8 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Tulane (4-4 so far) project to finish 5.9–6.1 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How Tulsa and Tulane come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Tulsa have won 1 of their last 5 (L-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
Tulane have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 13 times since 2011: Tulsa 6, Tulane 7. The last meeting, on Sep 27, 2025, finished Tulane 31, Tulsa 14.
Tulsa are 51-22 as favourite and 16-71 as underdog, and 27-59 on the road (31% of 86 games, 2011–2026).
Tulane are 43-16 as favourite and 24-79 as underdog, and 42-39 at home (52% of 81 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | TLSA | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 51-22 | 43-16 |
| As underdog | 16-71 | 24-79 |
| At home | 41-39 | 42-39 |
| On the road | 27-59 | 31-59 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →