NCAAF
Old Dominion
2-0
Coastal Carolina
3-0
Win Probability
Coastal Carolina hosts Old Dominion in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the home side. Deuce Bailey projects to 180 passing yards while Jaxon Potter is expected around 120, a gap that reflects the visitors' difficulty moving the ball. The game hinges on whether Old Dominion's ground game, led by Devin Roche's projected 45 rushing yards, can generate enough sustained drives to stay competitive. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's favored side won 66 percent of the time across 2,499 graded contests. For Old Dominion to pull the upset, their passing attack would need to exceed projections substantially and their defense would have to limit Coastal Carolina's receiving options in ways the model does not anticipate.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
1H ODU ML
ODU +176
-1.4% EV
32.3% leads · push 8.0%
FanDuel ↗
1H CCU ML
CCU -200
-1.2% EV
59.6% leads · push 8.0%
betPARX ↗
2-way moneyline: a tie at the half returns the stake, so the tie is priced as a push.
1H Spread
ODU +3.5 -102
-1.3% EV
49.1% covers
BetMGM ↗
1H Spread
CCU -3.5 -114
-2.3% EV
50.9% covers
Caesars ↗
1H Total
O 22.5 -112
-0.4% EV
52.4% over
DraftKings ↗
1H Total
U 22.5 -102
-2.9% EV
47.6% under
BetMGM ↗
| Book | Line | CCU | EV | ODU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -6.5 | -115 | -1.1% | -105 | -3.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -6.5 | -120 | -2.1% | +100 | -2.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -7 | -105 | -0.6% | -115 | -3.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | -6.5 | -116 | -1.3% | -103 | -3.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -6.5 | -115 | -1.1% | -105 | -3.4% |
| Book | CCU | EV | ODU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -250 | -1.5% | +205 | -3.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -250 | -1.5% | +205 | -3.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -250 | -1.5% | +200 | -3.9% |
| Caesars ↗ | -250 | -1.5% | +205 | -3.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -230 | -0.3% | +195 | -4.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 45.5 | -105 | -3.0% | -115 | -1.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 44.5 | -115 | -2.6% | -105 | -1.8% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 44.5 | -115 | -2.6% | -105 | -1.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | 45 | -109 | -2.6% | -110 | -1.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 44.5 | -115 | -2.6% | -105 | -1.8% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 52.3%
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
AccuScore's simulation makes Coastal Carolina 69% to beat Old Dominion (31%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Coastal Carolina the more likely winner at 69%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Coastal Carolina a 69% chance of beating Old Dominion, against 31% for Old Dominion. Coastal Carolina are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Old Dominion (2-7 so far) project to finish 3.2–8.8 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Coastal Carolina (3-5 so far) project to finish 4.8–7.2 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion | 3.2–8.8 | 0% | 0% |
| Coastal Carolina | 4.8–7.2 | 1% | 0% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How Old Dominion and Coastal Carolina come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Old Dominion have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
Coastal Carolina have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 3 times since 2022: Old Dominion 2, Coastal Carolina 1. The last meeting, on Oct 4, 2025, finished Coastal Carolina 7, Old Dominion 47.
Old Dominion are 25-11 as favourite and 18-60 as underdog, and 21-42 on the road (33% of 63 games, 2014–2026).
Coastal Carolina are 26-7 as favourite and 14-23 as underdog, and 23-17 at home (57% of 40 games, 2018–2026).
| Record | ODU | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 25-11 | 26-7 |
| As underdog | 18-60 | 14-23 |
| At home | 26-32 | 23-17 |
| On the road | 21-42 | 19-22 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →