Buffalo
5-0
Ball State
3-0
| Book | BALL | EV | BUFF | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -126 | — | -143 | — |
| Polymarket ↗ | -5429 | — | -10969 | — |
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NCAAF
Buffalo (5-3 so far) project to finish 7.0–5.0 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Ball State (3-5 so far) project to finish 4.4–7.6 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 7.0–5.0 | 2% | <1% |
| Ball State | 4.4–7.6 | 0% | 0% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How Buffalo and Ball State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Buffalo have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
Ball State have won 2 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 5 times since 2011: Buffalo 2, Ball State 3. The last meeting, on Nov 11, 2024, finished Ball State 48, Buffalo 51.
Buffalo are 45-13 as favourite and 18-68 as underdog, and 34-53 on the road (39% of 87 games, 2011–2026).
Ball State are 33-17 as favourite and 24-74 as underdog, and 32-37 at home (46% of 69 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | BUFF | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 45-13 | 33-17 |
| As underdog | 18-68 | 24-74 |
| At home | 38-32 | 32-37 |
| On the road | 34-53 | 28-60 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →