Nebraska
5-4
Rutgers
2-6
Win Probability
Nebraska travels to face Rutgers in a game where the simulation decisively favors the Cornhuskers. Anthony Colandrea projects for 180 passing yards for Nebraska, while Rutgers quarterback AJ Surace is expected to manage just 130 in response. The matchup turns on Nebraska's ability to control the ground game and limit Rutgers' rushing attack—Antwan Raymond's projected 55 yards will be critical to keeping the Scarlet Knights competitive. In similar win-probability shapes across eight other games, the favored side won 75% of the time. For Rutgers to pull off the upset at home, it would need significant production from its passing game and efficiency from Raymond that exceeds these projections.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | RUTG | EV | NEB | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | +420 | -0.1% | -550 | -2.3% |
| Kalshi ↗ | +398 | -2.2% | -524 | -1.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +338 | -8.0% | -646 | -3.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 53.5 | -104 | +1.3% | -118 | -5.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 63.5 | -10969 | -35.7% | -10969 | -13.8% |
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NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Nebraska 81% to beat Rutgers (19%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Nebraska the more likely winner at 81%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Rutgers a 19% chance of beating Nebraska, against 81% for Nebraska. Rutgers are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Nebraska (5-4 so far) project to finish 6.5–5.5 and make the College Football Playoff in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Rutgers (2-6 so far) project to finish 3.0–9.0 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How Nebraska and Rutgers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Nebraska have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
Rutgers have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 5 times since 2014: Nebraska 5, Rutgers 0. The last meeting, on Oct 5, 2024, finished Rutgers 7, Nebraska 14.
Nebraska are 66-28 as favourite and 11-53 as underdog, and 29-48 on the road (38% of 77 games, 2011–2026).
Rutgers are 31-14 as favourite and 21-87 as underdog, and 29-53 at home (35% of 82 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | NEB | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 66-28 | 31-14 |
| As underdog | 11-53 | 21-87 |
| At home | 52-38 | 29-53 |
| On the road | 29-48 | 26-54 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →