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← Today's Edges
NCAAF•Sat, Nov 14 • 8:30 PM
FAU

Florida Atlantic

6-3

VS
TLSA

Tulsa

5-4

Win Probability

Moneyline

FAU

+166

33.7% win prob

EV -5.2%

Kalshi

Moneyline

TLSA

-208

66.3% win prob

EV -0.9%

Kalshi

Analysis

Florida Atlantic travels to face Tulsa with the simulation favoring the home side clearly. The Owls' offense will need to generate points in volume; AccuScore projects both teams to score in the mid-to-upper 30s, with the game's outcome hinging on whether either can pull away late. In past games where the model has leaned this strongly one direction, that side won 66 percent of the time. For Florida Atlantic to pull the upset, the Hurricanes' defense would have to force stops the projection doesn't account for, since the simulation has Tulsa ahead by a touchdown in a contest likeliest to stay close throughout.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadTLSA -5.5
34-6.5-47
FAU Cover
48.5%
EV -6.8%
-128ProphetX ↗
TLSA Cover
51.5%
EV -3.5%
-124ProphetX ↗
Total (Over/Under)O/U 70.5
35.576.75118
Over Cover
53.5%
EV -5.8%
-153Novig ↗
Under Cover
46.5%
EV -0.5%
+113Novig ↗

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

35.2%FAU
Tied 7.5%
TLSA57.3%
1st Half SpreadTLSA -3.5
21-4-29
FAU Cover
49.9%
no odds at this line
TLSA Cover
50.1%
no odds at this line
1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 36
123762
Over Cover
49.5%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
49.7%
no odds at this line
Push 0.9% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

TLSA FAU
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Spread

BookLineTLSAEVFAUEV
ProphetX ↗-5.5-124-3.5%-128-6.8%

Moneyline

BookTLSAEVFAUEV
Kalshi ↗-208-0.9%+166-5.2%
Polymarket ↗-245-3.3%+148-8.2%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
Novig ↗70.5-153-5.8%+113-0.5%

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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NCAAF

Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 3:30 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Tulsa 66% to beat Florida Atlantic (34%).

Projection updated Nov 8, 2:50 PM ET

Who will win Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa?

AccuScore's simulation makes Tulsa the more likely winner at 66%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Tulsa beat Florida Atlantic?

AccuScore's simulation gives Tulsa a 66% chance of beating Florida Atlantic, against 34% for Florida Atlantic. Tulsa are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa meeting →Florida Atlantic predictions & record →Tulsa predictions & record →

Season outlook

Florida Atlantic (6-3 so far) project to finish 7.3–4.7 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Tulsa (5-4 so far) project to finish 6.8–5.2 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordDivision titlePlayoffs
Florida Atlantic7.3–4.7<1%<1%
Tulsa6.8–5.20%<1%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Florida Atlantic and Tulsa come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Florida AtlanticWLWLW
  • Nov 5vs UTSAW 60–29
  • Oct 29at North TexasL 41–48
  • Oct 24vs RiceW 51–49
  • Oct 17at ArmyL 24–56
  • Oct 3vs Texas SouthernW 66–10

Florida Atlantic have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).

TulsaWLWLL
  • Nov 7at TulaneW 60–10
  • Oct 23vs ArmyL 35–38
  • Oct 17at RiceW 38–17
  • Oct 10at NavyL 26–34
  • Oct 1vs North TexasL 44–45

Tulsa have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-L, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 4 times since 2014: Florida Atlantic 3, Tulsa 1. The last meeting, on Nov 8, 2025, finished Tulsa 21, Florida Atlantic 40.

  • Nov 8, 2025TLSA 21 – 40 FAU
  • Nov 30, 2024FAU 63 – 16 TLSA
  • Sep 5, 2015FAU 44 – 47 TLSA
  • Sep 13, 2014TLSA 21 – 50 FAU
Every Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa meeting →

Betting trends

Florida Atlantic are 45-22 as favourite and 18-68 as underdog, and 23-64 on the road (26% of 87 games, 2011–2026).

Tulsa are 52-22 as favourite and 16-71 as underdog, and 41-39 at home (51% of 80 games, 2011–2026).

RecordFAUTLSA
As favourite45-2252-22
As underdog18-6816-71
At home41-3541-39
On the road23-6428-59

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →