NCAAF
UAB
5-4
Temple
2-7
Win Probability
Temple hosts UAB in a matchup where the simulation favors the Owls. The model projects a close game that hinges on offensive execution: Temple's quarterback has a 62% chance of exceeding 240 passing yards, while UAB's passer sits at 58% to clear the same mark. In games where the simulation has favored one side this clearly across 2,697 graded contests, that side has won 55% of the time. For the visiting Blazers to pull the upset, they would need to limit Temple's passing attack while getting their own quarterback into rhythm early.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | TEM | EV | UAB | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig ↗ | -2.5 | -115 | -0.4% | -115 | -6.1% |
| Book | TEM | EV | UAB | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -148 | -0.9% | +114 | -5.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -171 | -3.6% | +103 | -8.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig ↗ | 50.5 | -141 | -7.6% | -141 | -6.9% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Temple 59% to beat UAB (41%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Temple the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Temple a 59% chance of beating UAB, against 41% for UAB. Temple are at home and favoured on these numbers.
UAB (5-4 so far) project to finish 5.7–6.3 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Temple (2-7 so far) project to finish 3.5–8.5 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How UAB and Temple come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
UAB have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
Temple have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
UAB are 34-21 as favourite and 20-55 as underdog, and 21-57 on the road (27% of 78 games, 2011–2026).
Temple are 42-18 as favourite and 26-74 as underdog, and 37-43 at home (46% of 80 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | UAB | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 34-21 | 42-18 |
| As underdog | 20-55 | 26-74 |
| At home | 36-25 | 37-43 |
| On the road | 21-57 | 33-54 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →