Wyoming
6-3
UTEP
1-8
Win Probability
Wyoming travels to El Paso as a decisive favorite over UTEP, with the simulation strongly favoring the Cowboys. The game hinges on whether Wyoming can establish offensive control; across eight statistically similar matchups, the favored side won seven. UTEP will need to force the issue through the air and limit explosive plays to stay competitive, as the visitor has the clearer path to a comfortable margin. When AccuScore has leaned this heavily on a side in the past, that team won 76% of the time across 2,212 graded games. The Miners' best chance lies in making this a possession battle and converting in the red zone to keep pace.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | UTEP | EV | WYO | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig ↗ | +9.5 | -120 | -6.3% | -127 | -3.3% |
| ProphetX ↗ | +9.5 | -119 | -6.1% | -129 | -3.6% |
| Book | UTEP | EV | WYO | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +313 | +0.8% | -404 | -3.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +257 | -6.1% | -480 | -4.4% |
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NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Wyoming 75% to beat UTEP (25%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Wyoming the more likely winner at 75%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives UTEP a 25% chance of beating Wyoming, against 75% for Wyoming. UTEP are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Wyoming (6-3 so far) project to finish 7.3–4.7 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
UTEP (1-8 so far) project to finish 1.7–10.3 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How Wyoming and UTEP come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Wyoming have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
UTEP have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
Wyoming are 37-16 as favourite and 28-67 as underdog, and 30-54 on the road (36% of 84 games, 2011–2026).
UTEP are 22-10 as favourite and 12-100 as underdog, and 23-45 at home (34% of 68 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | WYO | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 37-16 | 22-10 |
| As underdog | 28-67 | 12-100 |
| At home | 38-35 | 23-45 |
| On the road | 30-54 | 13-72 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →