Eastern Michigan
4-6
Western Michigan
7-3
Win Probability
Eastern Michigan travels to face Western Michigan in a matchup where the simulation strongly favors the home side. AccuScore projects a decisive outcome, with the Eagles' offense needing to overcome a significant disadvantage in a game that turns on whether either team's passing attack can sustain drives late. In 1,772 games where the model leaned this heavily toward one side, that side won 86% of the time. For Eastern Michigan to pull the upset, its defense would need to force multiple turnovers and generate consistent pressure on Western Michigan's passing game.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | Line | WMU | EV | EMU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -13.5 | -110 | +1.9% | -110 | -6.4% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -13.5 | -147 | -4.3% | -141 | -11.0% |
| Book | WMU | EV | EMU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -580 | -0.6% | +440 | -7.6% |
| Kalshi ↗ | -458 | +1.4% | +426 | -8.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -597 | -0.8% | +406 | -10.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 46.5 | -110 | -2.5% | -110 | -2.1% |
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NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Western Michigan 84% to beat Eastern Michigan (16%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Western Michigan the more likely winner at 84%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Western Michigan a 84% chance of beating Eastern Michigan, against 16% for Eastern Michigan. Western Michigan are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Eastern Michigan (4-6 so far) project to finish 4.8–7.2 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Western Michigan (7-3 so far) project to finish 8.6–3.4 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Michigan | 4.8–7.2 | 0% | 0% |
| Western Michigan | 8.6–3.4 | 31% | <1% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How Eastern Michigan and Western Michigan come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Eastern Michigan have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-W, most recent first).
Western Michigan have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 13 times since 2011: Eastern Michigan 6, Western Michigan 7. The last meeting, on Nov 24, 2025, finished Western Michigan 31, Eastern Michigan 21.
Eastern Michigan are 23-13 as favourite and 29-83 as underdog, and 28-61 on the road (31% of 89 games, 2011–2026).
Western Michigan are 59-21 as favourite and 19-52 as underdog, and 42-27 at home (61% of 69 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | EMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 23-13 | 59-21 |
| As underdog | 29-83 | 19-52 |
| At home | 26-42 | 42-27 |
| On the road | 28-61 | 42-52 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →