Miami (OH)
6-4
Kent State
3-7
Win Probability
Miami travels to Kent State as a decisive favorite in this Mid-American Conference matchup. The simulation leans heavily toward the Redhawks, who project to control the game throughout. Kent State's defense will need to keep Miami off the board early; the visitors' passing attack is central to how this game unfolds, and containing that unit is the home side's path back into it. In similar spots across AccuScore's historical record, the favored side won 76 percent of the time. For Kent State to pull off the upset, its own passing game would need to stay efficient and force Miami into mistakes it rarely makes.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | KENT | EV | M-OH | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +252 | -2.0% | -360 | -3.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +185 | -11.1% | -704 | -8.5% |
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NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Miami (OH) 73% to beat Kent State (27%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Miami (OH) the more likely winner at 73%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Kent State a 27% chance of beating Miami (OH), against 73% for Miami (OH). Kent State are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Miami (OH) (6-4 so far) project to finish 7.0–5.0 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Kent State (3-7 so far) project to finish 3.5–8.5 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (OH) | 7.0–5.0 | <1% | <1% |
| Kent State | 3.5–8.5 | 0% | 0% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How Miami (OH) and Kent State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Miami (OH) have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
Kent State have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 12 times since 2011: Miami (OH) 7, Kent State 5. The last meeting, on Nov 12, 2024, finished Kent State 7, Miami (OH) 34.
Miami (OH) are 37-15 as favourite and 16-79 as underdog, and 27-65 on the road (29% of 92 games, 2011–2026).
Kent State are 26-10 as favourite and 22-85 as underdog, and 26-37 at home (41% of 63 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | M-OH | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 37-15 | 26-10 |
| As underdog | 16-79 | 22-85 |
| At home | 38-35 | 26-37 |
| On the road | 27-65 | 22-73 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →