Rice
1-9
Temple
2-8
Win Probability
Rice travels to Temple in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. AccuScore's model projects a close contest that could turn on offensive execution in the second half, with both teams capable of reaching the high 20s. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's favored side has won 66% of the time across 2,539 graded matchups. Rice would need to force multiple Temple turnovers and sustain drives into the red zone to pull off the upset; the Owls' path to victory runs through controlling the line of scrimmage and limiting big plays downfield.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | TEM | EV | RICE | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -155 | +0.7% | +105 | -10.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -204 | -4.1% | +127 | -6.4% |
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Rice (1-9 so far) project to finish 1.7–10.3 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Temple (2-8 so far) project to finish 2.8–9.2 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Temple 62% to beat Rice (38%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Temple the more likely winner at 62%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Temple a 62% chance of beating Rice, against 38% for Rice. Temple are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Rice and Temple come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Rice have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
Temple have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
Rice are 30-17 as favourite and 22-87 as underdog, and 22-64 on the road (26% of 86 games, 2011–2026).
Temple are 42-19 as favourite and 26-74 as underdog, and 37-44 at home (46% of 81 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | RICE | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 30-17 | 42-19 |
| As underdog | 22-87 | 26-74 |
| At home | 33-44 | 37-44 |
| On the road | 22-64 | 33-54 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →