#14Houston
7-3
West Virginia
5-4
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | Line | WVU | EV | HOU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | +7.5 | -130 | -4.2% | +105 | -0.6% |
| Book | WVU | EV | HOU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | +210 | -1.2% | -255 | -2.3% |
| Kalshi ↗ | +217 | -0.1% | -276 | -3.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -5429 | -34.0% | -3582 | -14.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 71.5 | -110 | -5.1% | -110 | +0.6% |
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Houston (7-3 so far) project to finish 8.0–4.0 and make the College Football Playoff in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
West Virginia (5-4 so far) project to finish 6.3–5.7 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 8.0–4.0 | 0% | 2% |
| West Virginia | 6.3–5.7 | 0% | <1% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Houston 69% to beat West Virginia (32%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Houston the more likely winner at 69%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives West Virginia a 32% chance of beating Houston, against 69% for Houston. West Virginia are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Houston and West Virginia come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Houston have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
West Virginia have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2025: Houston 0, West Virginia 1. The last meeting, on Nov 1, 2025, finished West Virginia 45, Houston 35.
Houston are 84-31 as favourite and 21-31 as underdog, and 50-35 on the road (59% of 85 games, 2011–2026).
West Virginia are 52-28 as favourite and 26-51 as underdog, and 46-38 at home (55% of 84 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | HOU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 84-31 | 52-28 |
| As underdog | 21-31 | 26-51 |
| At home | 58-31 | 46-38 |
| On the road | 50-35 | 37-46 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →