NCAAF
Syracuse
4-5
Boston College
4-5
Win Probability
Syracuse travels to Boston College in a matchup of two evenly matched 4-5 teams, but the simulation clearly favors the Orange. Mason McKenzie's projected 170 passing yards anchor Boston College's attack, while Syracuse's Steve Angeli is expected to produce only 140 through the air—a meaningful gap that reflects how the visitor's defense shapes this game. Ahmad Miller's 70 rushing yards for Syracuse project to exceed Bo MacCormack III's 55, giving the Orange an advantage on the ground as well. On games where the model has leaned this strongly, it has won 55 percent of its picks historically. Boston College would need to flip the script on both sides of the ball to pull the upset at home.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | BC | EV | SYR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +118 | -5.1% | -161 | -2.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +116 | -5.5% | -179 | -4.2% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Syracuse 59% to beat Boston College (41%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Syracuse the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Boston College a 41% chance of beating Syracuse, against 59% for Syracuse. Boston College are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Syracuse (4-5 so far) project to finish 5.2–6.8 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Boston College (4-5 so far) project to finish 4.5–7.5 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Syracuse | 5.2–6.8 | 0% | <1% |
| Boston College | 4.5–7.5 | 0% | <1% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How Syracuse and Boston College come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Syracuse have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
Boston College have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 12 times since 2013: Syracuse 6, Boston College 6. The last meeting, on Nov 29, 2025, finished Boston College 34, Syracuse 12.
Syracuse are 32-14 as favourite and 31-79 as underdog, and 29-49 on the road (37% of 78 games, 2011–2026).
Boston College are 29-22 as favourite and 30-76 as underdog, and 33-50 at home (40% of 83 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | SYR | BC |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 32-14 | 29-22 |
| As underdog | 31-79 | 30-76 |
| At home | 40-46 | 33-50 |
| On the road | 29-49 | 30-53 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →