Old Dominion
3-7
UConn
5-5
Win Probability
Old Dominion travels to UConn in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. Kalieb Osborne's projected 180 passing yards will likely exceed what Old Dominion's Jaxon Potter manages at 120, and that gap in quarterback production shapes the contest. UConn's ground game, led by Cyncir Bowers with 70 projected rushing yards, should establish control against Old Dominion's Devin Roche at 45. On games this heavily favored, AccuScore's pick won 86 percent of 1,786 graded contests. For Old Dominion to upset, Potter would need to sustain drives despite the yards disadvantage, a reversal the model rates as unlikely.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | CONN | EV | ODU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -609 | -1.9% | +456 | -1.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -771 | -3.3% | +381 | -8.2% |
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NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes UConn 83% to beat Old Dominion (17%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes UConn the more likely winner at 83%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives UConn a 83% chance of beating Old Dominion, against 17% for Old Dominion. UConn are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Old Dominion (3-7 so far) project to finish 3.9–8.1 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
UConn (5-5 so far) project to finish 6.4–5.6 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion | 3.9–8.1 | 0% | 0% |
| UConn | 6.4–5.6 | 0% | 0% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How Old Dominion and UConn come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Old Dominion have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
UConn have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-W, most recent first).
Old Dominion are 25-11 as favourite and 19-60 as underdog, and 22-42 on the road (34% of 64 games, 2014–2026).
UConn are 22-12 as favourite and 21-86 as underdog, and 31-43 at home (42% of 74 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | ODU | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 25-11 | 22-12 |
| As underdog | 19-60 | 21-86 |
| At home | 26-32 | 31-43 |
| On the road | 22-42 | 17-60 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →