Los Angeles Dodgers
97-62
San Francisco Giants
65-94
Win Probability
Projected score
5.3 – 2.8
The Los Angeles Dodgers travel to San Francisco to face the Giants in a matchup where the simulation leans decisively toward Los Angeles. Shohei Ohtani has an 18% chance to hit a home run, while Max Muncy projects a 50% hit probability—offensive production will likely determine the outcome. The Giants' pitching, with a projected 12.0 strikeouts from Tarik Skubal, suggests San Francisco's ability to limit damage will be critical. AccuScore's model has won 49% of similar calls across 15,986 National League games, but in eight recent matchups with this win-probability shape, the favored side won six times. San Francisco would need to suppress Los Angeles' hitting and escape without allowing the runs the Dodgers' lineup typically produces.
1st 5 Innings — AccuScore Projection
F5 LAD
—
F5 Total
—
F5 SF
—
| Book | Line | SF | EV | LAD | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +1.5 | +160 | -27.6% | -196 | +12.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +1.5 | +164 | -27.3% | -200 | +12.1% |
| Book | SF | EV | LAD | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +297 | +3.2% | -384 | -3.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +300 | +3.6% | -375 | -3.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +300 | +3.6% | -375 | -3.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +301 | +3.7% | -353 | -3.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 7.5 | +103 | -0.7% | -124 | -3.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 7.5 | +108 | +0.5% | -132 | -4.8% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 7.5 | +105 | -0.3% | -125 | -3.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 7.5 | +103 | -0.7% | -119 | -2.6% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 26.8%
MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers 73% to beat San Francisco Giants (27%). Projected score: Los Angeles Dodgers 5.3, San Francisco Giants 2.8.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers the more likely winner at 73%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives San Francisco Giants a 27% chance of beating Los Angeles Dodgers, against 73% for Los Angeles Dodgers. San Francisco Giants are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Los Angeles Dodgers 5.3, San Francisco Giants 2.8.