Arsenal FC
Slavia
Win Probability
Moneyline
ARS
72.7% win prob
Moneyline
SLA
9.5% win prob
Arsenal FC travel to face Slavia in the Champions League with the simulation favouring the visitors decisively. The model projects a comfortable margin built on Arsenal's attacking threat; across 50,000 simulations, a shutout victory for Arsenal appeared in 11% of outcomes. Slavia's path to an upset runs through containing that attack—the simulation gives them just a 10% win probability. On games shaped like this one, where the away side enters as a clear favourite, AccuScore's model has won 90% of the time over 51 graded calls. For Slavia to pull off the result, they would need to absorb pressure and convert the few chances that come their way into goals.
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Champions League
AccuScore's simulation makes Arsenal FC 73% to win, Slavia 10%, with a 18% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Arsenal FC the more likely winner at 73%, with a 18% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Slavia a 10% chance of beating Arsenal FC, with 73% for Arsenal FC and 18% for a draw. Slavia are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Arsenal FC and Slavia come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Arsenal FC have won 1 of their last 2, drawing 1 (D-W, most recent first).
Slavia have won 0 of their last 2, drawing 1 (D-L, most recent first).