NBA
Indiana Pacers
1-1
New Orleans Pelicans
1-1
Win Probability
The Indiana Pacers visit New Orleans Pelicans in a matchup between evenly matched teams both sitting at 1-1. AccuScore's simulation leans clearly toward the home side, projecting a tight contest decided by perimeter shooting and transition efficiency. Tyrese Haliburton has a 58% chance to exceed 7.2 assists, while CJ McCollum projects a 61% chance to top 19.4 points—the Pelicans' offensive creation will be crucial. On similar games historically, the favored home team has won at a 55% clip. For Indiana to pull the upset, their three-point discipline must overwhelm New Orleans' interior presence.
| Book | Line | NO | EV | IND | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| novig | +3.5 | -117 | +13.0% | -115 | -20.0% |
| Book | NO | EV | IND | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +147 | +27.4% | -144 | -18.5% |
| novig | +133 | +23.0% | -147 | -18.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| novig | 241.5 | -122 | -10.0% | -113 | +2.8% |
AccuScore's simulation makes New Orleans Pelicans 63% to beat Indiana Pacers (37%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New Orleans Pelicans the more likely winner at 63%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New Orleans Pelicans a 63% chance of beating Indiana Pacers, against 37% for Indiana Pacers. New Orleans Pelicans are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Indiana Pacers and New Orleans Pelicans come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met 33 times since 2010: Indiana Pacers 21, New Orleans Pelicans 12. The last meeting, on Jan 16, 2026, finished New Orleans Pelicans 119, Indiana Pacers 127.
Indiana Pacers are 449-223 as favourite and 227-413 as underdog, and 293-397 on the road (42% of 690 games, 2010–2026).
New Orleans Pelicans are 285-196 as favourite and 248-515 as underdog, and 329-326 at home (50% of 655 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | IND | NO |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 449-223 | 285-196 |
| As underdog | 227-413 | 248-515 |
| At home | 411-276 | 329-326 |
| On the road | 293-397 | 236-418 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →