FC Koln
Bayern Munich
Win Probability
Moneyline
FC
1.4% win prob
Draw
Draw
5% prob
Moneyline
FCB
93.3% win prob
Bayern München hosts Köln in a matchup where the simulation strongly favors the home side. Across 50,000 simulations, Bayern's attack is projected to dominate; the model expects a decisive margin that hinges entirely on whether Köln can limit the damage in transition. On games shaped this way—overwhelming favorites at home—AccuScore's picks have won 84% of the time over 512 prior instances. For Köln to stay competitive, they would need to compress Bayern's space in midfield and convert rare chances into goals, a difficult ask on the road against this opponent.
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 ↗ | 4.5 | -110 | -0.6% | -110 | -4.0% |
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
Bundesliga
AccuScore's simulation makes Bayern Munich 93% to win, FC Koln 1%, with a 5% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Bayern Munich the more likely winner at 93%, with a 5% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Bayern Munich a 93% chance of beating FC Koln, with 1% for FC Koln and 5% for a draw. Bayern Munich are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How FC Koln and Bayern Munich come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
FC Koln have won 2 of their last 5, drawing 2 (D-D-L-W-W, most recent first).
Bayern Munich have won 2 of their last 5, drawing 2 (D-W-W-D-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 14 times since 2017: FC Koln 0, Bayern Munich 13, 1 drawn. The last meeting, on May 16, 2026, finished FC Koln 1, Bayern Munich 5.