Stuttgart
Schalke 04
Win Probability
Moneyline
VFB
-118
53.3% win prob
EV -0.8%
Betano
Draw
Draw
+309
22% prob
EV -4.4%
Pinnacle
Moneyline
S04
+290
24.4% win prob
EV -2.4%
bet365
Stuttgart travels to Schalke 04 in a Bundesliga fixture where the simulation clearly favours the away side. The model projects a attacking game that hinges on whether Schalke 04 can match Stuttgart's output; over 61% of simulations see the combined score exceed the market's total. AccuScore's record on similarly shaped matchups—games where the away side held a clear lean—stands at 6 wins across 8 comparable fixtures. For Schalke 04 to upset this projection, the hosts would need to tighten their structure and prevent Stuttgart from translating their attacking chances into goals at the rate the simulations expect.
| Book | VFB | EV | Draw | EV | S04 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -119 | -1.0% | +309 | -4.4% | +280 | -3.6% |
| Betano ↗ | -118 | -0.8% | +305 | -4.8% | +280 | -3.6% |
| bet365 ↗ | -133 | -3.3% | +300 | -5.4% | +290 | -2.4% |
| William Hill ↗ | -133 | -3.3% | +290 | -6.5% | +280 | -3.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3.5 | +112 | +11.5% | -135 | -13.4% |
| Betano ↗ | 3.5 | +112 | +11.5% | -133 | -13.2% |
| bet365 ↗ | 3.5 | +110 | +10.9% | -137 | -13.7% |
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Bundesliga
AccuScore's simulation makes Stuttgart 53% to win, Schalke 04 24%, with a 22% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Stuttgart the more likely winner at 53%, with a 22% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Schalke 04 a 24% chance of beating Stuttgart, with 53% for Stuttgart and 22% for a draw. Schalke 04 are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Stuttgart and Schalke 04 come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Stuttgart have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-W, most recent first).
Schalke 04 have won 0 of their last 5, drawing 2 (L-D-L-L-D, most recent first).
The teams have met 12 times since 2014: Stuttgart 1, Schalke 04 7, 4 drawn. The last meeting, on Feb 25, 2023, finished Stuttgart 1, Schalke 04 2.