NBA • Fri, Oct 30, 00:00
The Cleveland Cavaliers travel to Atlanta to face the Hawks in a matchup the model leans slightly toward the home side. Atlanta's offense will need to sustain the efficiency that projects it to the high 110s, while Cleveland's defense must tighten around Hawks scorers; both teams' ability to execute in transition could prove decisive. For the Cavaliers to pull the upset, they would need to force Atlanta into poor shot selection and capitalize on the road.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Cleveland Cavaliers (2-1 so far) project to finish 43.3–38.7 and make the playoffs in 65% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Atlanta Hawks (2-2 so far) project to finish 49.8–32.2 and make the playoffs in 82% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 43.3–38.7 | 25% | 65% |
| Atlanta Hawks | 49.8–32.2 | 47% | 82% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Atlanta Hawks 55% to beat Cleveland Cavaliers (45%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Atlanta Hawks the more likely winner at 55%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Atlanta Hawks a 55% chance of beating Cleveland Cavaliers, against 45% for Cleveland Cavaliers. Atlanta Hawks are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Cleveland Cavaliers and Atlanta Hawks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Cleveland Cavaliers have won 3 of their last 4 (W-W-W-L, most recent first).
Atlanta Hawks have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 63 times since 2010: Cleveland Cavaliers 31, Atlanta Hawks 32. The last meeting, on Apr 10, 2026, finished Cleveland Cavaliers 102, Atlanta Hawks 124.
Cleveland Cavaliers are 469-219 as favourite and 195-445 as underdog, and 299-395 on the road (43% of 694 games, 2010–2026).
Atlanta Hawks are 401-213 as favourite and 246-446 as underdog, and 394-288 at home (58% of 682 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | CLE | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 469-219 | 401-213 |
| As underdog | 195-445 | 246-446 |
| At home | 406-296 | 394-288 |
| On the road | 299-395 | 287-403 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →