Sacramento Kings
0-4
New Orleans Pelicans
0-4
Win Probability
Two winless teams clash in New Orleans, with the simulation favoring the Pelicans clearly. Sacramento Kings travel to face the home side in a matchup that hinges on three-point shooting: the model projects the teams will combine for nearly half their points from deep. In similar games shaped this way, AccuScore's historical record stands at 55% over 1,231 graded contests. For the Kings to pull the upset, they would need to both shoot efficiently from outside and limit New Orleans' own perimeter volume—a difficult task on the road against a team the simulation expects to finish around 121 points.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
1H SAC ML
SAC +162
-1.6% EV
35.6% leads · push 3.5%
Pinnacle ↗
1H NO ML
NO -182
-1.1% EV
60.9% leads · push 3.5%
bet365 ↗
2-way moneyline: a tie at the half returns the stake, so the tie is priced as a push.
1H Spread
SAC +3.5 -116
-3.4% EV
50.1% covers
bet365 ↗
1H Spread
NO -3.5 -105
-1.3% EV
49.9% covers
bet365 ↗
1H Total
O 121.5 -112
-10.4% EV
41.9% over
bet365 ↗
1H Total
U 121.5 -104
+7.0% EV
58.1% under
Pinnacle ↗
| Book | Line | NO | EV | SAC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -6 | -108 | -0.6% | -102 | -1.7% |
| Betfair ↗ | -6.5 | -110 | -2.7% | -125 | -4.6% |
| Betano ↗ | -6.5 | -105 | -1.6% | -118 | -3.4% |
| bet365 ↗ | -6 | -108 | -0.6% | -125 | -6.0% |
| Novig ↗ | -6.5 | +104 | +0.6% | -106 | -1.0% |
| Book | NO | EV | SAC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -239 | -2.1% | +189 | -3.2% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -235 | -1.8% | +202 | -1.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 236 | -108 | -3.2% | -106 | +0.0% |
| Betfair ↗ | 236.5 | -110 | -4.8% | -110 | +0.3% |
| Betano ↗ | 236.5 | -108 | -4.5% | -114 | -0.5% |
| bet365 ↗ | 236.5 | -108 | -4.5% | -114 | -0.5% |
| William Hill ↗ | 236.5 | -118 | -6.3% | -118 | -1.3% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes New Orleans Pelicans 68% to beat Sacramento Kings (32%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New Orleans Pelicans the more likely winner at 68%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New Orleans Pelicans a 68% chance of beating Sacramento Kings, against 32% for Sacramento Kings. New Orleans Pelicans are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Sacramento Kings (0-4 so far) project to finish 21.9–60.1 and make the playoffs in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
New Orleans Pelicans (0-3 so far) project to finish 35.1–46.9 and make the playoffs in 33% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Kings | 21.9–60.1 | 1% | 6% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 35.1–46.9 | 5% | 33% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Sacramento Kings and New Orleans Pelicans come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Sacramento Kings have won 0 of their last 4 (L-L-L-L, most recent first).
New Orleans Pelicans have won 0 of their last 4 (L-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 60 times since 2010: Sacramento Kings 25, New Orleans Pelicans 35. The last meeting, on Apr 3, 2026, finished New Orleans Pelicans 113, Sacramento Kings 117.
Sacramento Kings are 229-166 as favourite and 246-583 as underdog, and 225-419 on the road (35% of 644 games, 2010–2026).
New Orleans Pelicans are 285-196 as favourite and 248-519 as underdog, and 329-328 at home (50% of 657 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | SAC | NO |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 229-166 | 285-196 |
| As underdog | 246-583 | 248-519 |
| At home | 287-358 | 329-328 |
| On the road | 225-419 | 236-420 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →