NBA • Fri, Oct 30, 23:30
The Toronto Raptors host the Orlando Magic in a matchup the simulation clearly favors for the home side. Franz Wagner projects at a 49% chance to exceed 33 points, rebounds and assists, while Scottie Barnes sits at exactly 50% for the same threshold—both performing at the centre of their teams' offensive load. The game turns on depth: Toronto's bench contributors, including Immanuel Quickley at 49% to beat 22 combined, offer the Raptors multiple scoring paths, whereas Orlando leans heavier on its star wing.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Toronto Raptors 62% to beat Orlando Magic (38%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Toronto Raptors the more likely winner at 62%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Toronto Raptors a 62% chance of beating Orlando Magic, against 38% for Orlando Magic. Toronto Raptors are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Orlando Magic (1-2 so far) project to finish 43.6–38.4 and make the playoffs in 65% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Toronto Raptors (2-1 so far) project to finish 48.6–33.4 and make the playoffs in 79% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic | 43.6–38.4 | 24% | 65% |
| Toronto Raptors | 48.6–33.4 | 24% | 79% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Orlando Magic and Toronto Raptors come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Orlando Magic have won 1 of their last 4 (L-W-L-L, most recent first).
Toronto Raptors have won 3 of their last 4 (W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 61 times since 2010: Orlando Magic 18, Toronto Raptors 43. The last meeting, on Oct 28, 2026, finished Orlando Magic 99, Toronto Raptors 129.
Orlando Magic are 285-175 as favourite and 234-564 as underdog, and 223-442 on the road (34% of 665 games, 2010–2026).
Toronto Raptors are 479-217 as favourite and 205-409 as underdog, and 409-283 at home (59% of 692 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | ORL | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 285-175 | 479-217 |
| As underdog | 234-564 | 205-409 |
| At home | 323-336 | 409-283 |
| On the road | 223-442 | 309-377 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →