NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
1-3
Minnesota Timberwolves
3-2
Win Probability
The Los Angeles Clippers travel to Minnesota to face the Timberwolves in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. Minnesota's depth gives it the advantage, though Los Angeles has shown it can compete; the game turns on whether the Clippers can generate enough perimeter scoring to keep pace with a Timberwolves team built to control the middle. AccuScore's model has returned 55% on similar games over 1,231 past matchups—a modest but consistent edge. For Los Angeles to pull off the upset, it would need to win the three-point battle decisively and force Minnesota into early foul trouble, a tall order on the road.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | MIN | EV | LAC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -218 | -0.5% | +174 | -5.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -223 | -0.9% | +185 | -4.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Minnesota Timberwolves 68% to beat Los Angeles Clippers (32%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Minnesota Timberwolves the more likely winner at 68%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Minnesota Timberwolves a 68% chance of beating Los Angeles Clippers, against 32% for Los Angeles Clippers. Minnesota Timberwolves are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Los Angeles Clippers (1-2 so far) project to finish 44.7–37.3 and make the playoffs in 63% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Minnesota Timberwolves (3-1 so far) project to finish 49.4–32.6 and make the playoffs in 76% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Clippers | 44.7–37.3 | 33% | 63% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 49.4–32.6 | 22% | 76% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Los Angeles Clippers and Minnesota Timberwolves come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Los Angeles Clippers have won 1 of their last 4 (L-L-L-W, most recent first).
Minnesota Timberwolves have won 3 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 58 times since 2010: Los Angeles Clippers 33, Minnesota Timberwolves 25. The last meeting, on Mar 11, 2026, finished Minnesota Timberwolves 128, Los Angeles Clippers 153.
Los Angeles Clippers are 605-253 as favourite and 162-295 as underdog, and 351-341 on the road (51% of 692 games, 2010–2026).
Minnesota Timberwolves are 345-206 as favourite and 208-506 as underdog, and 333-331 at home (50% of 664 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | LAC | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 605-253 | 345-206 |
| As underdog | 162-295 | 208-506 |
| At home | 453-242 | 333-331 |
| On the road | 351-341 | 254-413 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →