NBA • Sat, Oct 31, 02:00
Denver Nuggets travel to Phoenix Suns in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the visitors. The model projects a narrow margin in a tight contest that hinges on perimeter shooting: Jamal Murray has a 58% chance to exceed 18.5 points, while Devin Booker sits at 54% to clear 24.5. For Phoenix to pull the upset, it would need the Suns' role players to contain Denver's secondary scorers while Booker operates at his ceiling.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Denver Nuggets 60% to beat Phoenix Suns (40%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Denver Nuggets the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Phoenix Suns a 40% chance of beating Denver Nuggets, against 60% for Denver Nuggets. Phoenix Suns are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Denver Nuggets (2-2 so far) project to finish 44.7–37.3 and make the playoffs in 63% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Phoenix Suns (1-2 so far) project to finish 36.9–45.1 and make the playoffs in 37% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets | 44.7–37.3 | 14% | 63% |
| Phoenix Suns | 36.9–45.1 | 13% | 37% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Denver Nuggets have won 2 of their last 4 (W-L-W-L, most recent first).
Phoenix Suns have won 1 of their last 3 (L-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 66 times since 2010: Denver Nuggets 39, Phoenix Suns 27. The last meeting, on Mar 24, 2026, finished Denver Nuggets 125, Phoenix Suns 123.
Denver Nuggets are 548-251 as favourite and 206-320 as underdog, and 328-367 on the road (47% of 695 games, 2010–2026).
Phoenix Suns are 370-194 as favourite and 217-481 as underdog, and 354-314 at home (53% of 668 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | DEN | PHO |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 548-251 | 370-194 |
| As underdog | 206-320 | 217-481 |
| At home | 469-228 | 354-314 |
| On the road | 328-367 | 268-393 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →