Sacramento Kings
0-5
Memphis Grizzlies
5-0
Win Probability
Memphis Grizzlies host a Sacramento Kings side that arrives winless, and the simulation decisively favors the home team. Darius Acuff projects as the Kings' primary scoring threat at a 47% chance of exceeding 30 points, rebounds and assists, but Memphis counters with Cameron Boozer at 47% to surpass 31 in the same categories. The game hinges on Sacramento's ability to generate consistent offensive production; the Kings' depth has not yet materialized into wins, and stopping Memphis's balanced attack will require near-perfect execution across the roster. AccuScore has gone 69% over 1273 games shaped like this one, backing the favored home side. For Sacramento to pull the upset, multiple role players—De'Andre Hunter among them—would need to hit their ceiling simultaneously while Memphis's secondary scorers underperform.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
1H SAC ML
SAC +240
+1.1% EV
29.2% leads · push 2.9%
bet365 ↗
1H MEM ML
MEM -263
-1.7% EV
67.9% leads · push 2.9%
Pinnacle ↗
2-way moneyline: a tie at the half returns the stake, so the tie is priced as a push.
| Book | Line | MEM | EV | SAC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -9 | +102 | +3.3% | -115 | -5.7% |
| Betfair ↗ | -9.5 | -110 | -0.9% | -110 | -3.6% |
| Betano ↗ | -8.5 | -114 | +0.8% | -108 | -5.8% |
| bet365 ↗ | -10 | -125 | -5.0% | -105 | -1.0% |
| Novig ↗ | -8.5 | -102 | +3.6% | +100 | -4.1% |
| Book | MEM | EV | SAC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -340 | -0.7% | +280 | -4.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -333 | -0.5% | +286 | -4.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 230 | -110 | +5.0% | -104 | -8.4% |
| Betfair ↗ | 231.5 | -110 | +1.7% | -110 | -6.3% |
| Betano ↗ | 231.5 | -108 | +2.2% | -114 | -7.0% |
| bet365 ↗ | 231.5 | -111 | +1.5% | -111 | -6.5% |
| William Hill ↗ | 231.5 | -118 | +0.1% | -118 | -7.7% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Memphis Grizzlies 76% to beat Sacramento Kings (24%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Memphis Grizzlies the more likely winner at 76%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Memphis Grizzlies a 76% chance of beating Sacramento Kings, against 24% for Sacramento Kings. Memphis Grizzlies are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Sacramento Kings (0-5 so far) project to finish 21.1–60.9 and make the playoffs in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Memphis Grizzlies (5-0 so far) project to finish 39.3–42.7 and make the playoffs in 43% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Kings | 21.1–60.9 | 1% | 4% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 39.3–42.7 | 7% | 43% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Sacramento Kings and Memphis Grizzlies come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Sacramento Kings have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
Memphis Grizzlies have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 57 times since 2010: Sacramento Kings 20, Memphis Grizzlies 37. The last meeting, on Oct 25, 2026, finished Memphis Grizzlies 123, Sacramento Kings 112.
Sacramento Kings are 229-166 as favourite and 246-584 as underdog, and 225-420 on the road (35% of 645 games, 2010–2026).
Memphis Grizzlies are 439-193 as favourite and 229-435 as underdog, and 407-272 at home (60% of 679 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | SAC | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 229-166 | 439-193 |
| As underdog | 246-584 | 229-435 |
| At home | 287-358 | 407-272 |
| On the road | 225-420 | 297-382 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →