Brooklyn Nets
0-5
Indiana Pacers
2-4
Win Probability
The Indiana Pacers host a travelling Brooklyn Nets side in a matchup where the simulation favours the home team. Pascal Siakam projects to a 49% chance of exceeding 35 points, rebounds and assists, while Julius Randle carries a 48% chance of topping 32 in the same categories. The game turns on whether Brooklyn's visitors can manufacture enough perimeter creation; Andrew Nembhard sits at 49% to beat 30 combined points, rebounds and assists. AccuScore's model has returned 11.8% on similar home-lean calls across 242 graded games. Brooklyn would need to override the Pacers' depth across their rotation to pull the upset.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
1H BRO ML
BRO +127
-2.4% EV
40.4% leads · push 3.4%
Pinnacle ↗
1H IND ML
IND -147
-1.1% EV
56.2% leads · push 3.4%
Pinnacle ↗
2-way moneyline: a tie at the half returns the stake, so the tie is priced as a push.
| Book | Line | IND | EV | BRO | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -4 | -102 | +1.1% | -111 | -3.9% |
| Betfair ↗ | -3.5 | -125 | -2.1% | -110 | -5.3% |
| Betano ↗ | -3.5 | -115 | -0.3% | -105 | -4.3% |
| bet365 ↗ | -4 | -108 | -0.3% | -125 | -6.3% |
| Novig ↗ | -3.5 | -108 | +1.2% | +106 | -1.8% |
| Book | IND | EV | BRO | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -175 | -1.8% | +146 | -2.4% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -171 | -1.4% | +148 | -2.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 230.5 | -108 | +1.7% | -105 | -4.8% |
| Betfair ↗ | 230.5 | -110 | +1.3% | -114 | -6.5% |
| Betano ↗ | 230.5 | -114 | +0.4% | -108 | -5.4% |
| bet365 ↗ | 230 | -125 | -0.7% | -105 | -5.8% |
| William Hill ↗ | 230.5 | -118 | -0.4% | -118 | -7.2% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Indiana Pacers 61% to beat Brooklyn Nets (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Indiana Pacers the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Indiana Pacers a 61% chance of beating Brooklyn Nets, against 39% for Brooklyn Nets. Indiana Pacers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Brooklyn Nets (0-5 so far) project to finish 25.6–56.4 and make the playoffs in 13% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Indiana Pacers (2-4 so far) project to finish 31.8–50.2 and make the playoffs in 27% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brooklyn Nets | 25.6–56.4 | 1% | 13% |
| Indiana Pacers | 31.8–50.2 | 4% | 27% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Brooklyn Nets and Indiana Pacers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Brooklyn Nets have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
Indiana Pacers have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 56 times since 2011: Brooklyn Nets 21, Indiana Pacers 35. The last meeting, on Oct 25, 2026, finished Indiana Pacers 136, Brooklyn Nets 109.
Brooklyn Nets are 278-154 as favourite and 239-590 as underdog, and 241-422 on the road (36% of 663 games, 2010–2026).
Indiana Pacers are 451-225 as favourite and 227-415 as underdog, and 411-278 at home (60% of 689 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | BRO | IND |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 278-154 | 451-225 |
| As underdog | 239-590 | 227-415 |
| At home | 312-353 | 411-278 |
| On the road | 241-422 | 295-399 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →