Thunder vs Cavaliers Prediction (Nov 2): Cavaliers 59%

NBA • Tue, Nov 3, 00:00

OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder4-2

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers4-2

Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder travel to Cleveland to face the Cavaliers in a matchup between evenly matched teams. The simulation favours Cleveland slightly, projecting a close contest decided by depth and ball movement. Shai Gilgeous Alexander has a 49% chance of topping 38 combined points, rebounds and assists, but Cleveland counters with three players—Donovan Mitchell, James Harden and Evan Mobley [CLE]—each with a 49–50% chance of exceeding 29 to 32.

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Season outlook

Oklahoma City Thunder (4-2 so far) project to finish 49.5–32.5 and make the playoffs in 76% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Cleveland Cavaliers (4-2 so far) project to finish 46.0–36.0 and make the playoffs in 73% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Team	Projected record	Division title	Playoffs
Oklahoma City Thunder	49.5–32.5	28%	76%
Cleveland Cavaliers	46.0–36.0	27%	73%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →

AccuScore's simulation makes Cleveland Cavaliers 59% to beat Oklahoma City Thunder (41%).

Projection updated Nov 2, 11:17 AM ET

Who will win Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

AccuScore's simulation makes Cleveland Cavaliers the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Cleveland Cavaliers beat Oklahoma City Thunder?

AccuScore's simulation gives Cleveland Cavaliers a 59% chance of beating Oklahoma City Thunder, against 41% for Oklahoma City Thunder. Cleveland Cavaliers are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Oklahoma City Thunder and Cleveland Cavaliers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Oklahoma City ThunderLLWWW

Oct 31at Houston RocketsL 98–119
Oct 28at Dallas MavericksL 96–120
Oct 26vs Phoenix SunsW 125–114
Oct 25vs Los Angeles ClippersW 108–101
Oct 22vs Denver NuggetsW 96–84

Oklahoma City Thunder have won 3 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first).

Cleveland CavaliersWLWWW

Oct 31at Milwaukee BucksW 136–111
Oct 29at Atlanta HawksL 111–114
Oct 28vs Washington WizardsW 121–111
Oct 26vs Minnesota TimberwolvesW 127–125
Oct 24vs Brooklyn NetsW 125–121

Cleveland Cavaliers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 31 times since 2010: Oklahoma City Thunder 18, Cleveland Cavaliers 13. The last meeting, on Feb 22, 2026, finished Cleveland Cavaliers 113, Oklahoma City Thunder 121.

Feb 22, 2026CLE 113 – 121 OKC
Jan 19, 2026OKC 136 – 104 CLE
Jan 16, 2025CLE 114 – 134 OKC
Jan 8, 2025OKC 122 – 129 CLE
Nov 8, 2023CLE 120 – 128 OKC

Every Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers meeting →

Betting trends

Oklahoma City Thunder are 682-252 as favourite and 160-272 as underdog, and 377-333 on the road (53% of 710 games, 2010–2026).

Cleveland Cavaliers are 470-219 as favourite and 195-446 as underdog, and 406-296 at home (58% of 702 games, 2010–2026).

Record	OKC	CLE
As favourite	682-252	470-219
As underdog	160-272	195-446
At home	495-221	406-296
On the road	377-333	300-396

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →