Washington Wizards
3-3
Orlando Magic
2-4
Win Probability
The Washington Wizards travel to Orlando to face the Magic, who hold the simulation's favour in a tight contest. Franz Wagner projects at 50% to exceed 36 combined points, rebounds and assists, while Anthony Davis sits at 47% for the same threshold of 35—a marginal gap that reflects how close AccuScore expects this game to be. The deciding factor is Orlando's depth: Desmond Bane, Anthony Black and Tristan da Silva all carry win probabilities between 46% and 49% on their respective thresholds, giving the Magic multiple scoring avenues. Over 242 similar games where the model favoured the home side by this margin, AccuScore's pick won 50% of the time. Washington would need Davis and Trae Young to both exceed their individual thresholds while holding Orlando's role players in check.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
1H WAS ML
WAS +119
-2.3% EV
41.9% leads · push 3.6%
Pinnacle ↗
1H ORL ML
ORL -127
+0.5% EV
54.5% leads · push 3.6%
bet365 ↗
2-way moneyline: a tie at the half returns the stake, so the tie is priced as a push.
1H Spread
WAS +1.5 -114
-4.0% EV
49.0% covers
Betano ↗
1H Spread
ORL -1.5 -102
+0.5% EV
51.0% covers
bet365 ↗
1H Total
O 114.5 -110
-3.0% EV
49.3% over
Pinnacle ↗
1H Total
U 114.5 -108
-1.2% EV
50.7% under
Pinnacle ↗
| Book | Line | ORL | EV | WAS | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -3 | -103 | +1.5% | -109 | -4.1% |
| Betfair ↗ | -2.5 | -110 | +1.5% | -125 | -8.5% |
| Betano ↗ | -2.5 | -115 | +0.4% | -108 | -5.6% |
| bet365 ↗ | -2 | -125 | -0.2% | -110 | -7.1% |
| Novig ↗ | -2.5 | -108 | +1.9% | +106 | -2.5% |
| Book | ORL | EV | WAS | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -148 | -1.1% | +124 | -3.4% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -151 | -1.5% | +131 | -2.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 225.5 | -108 | -0.8% | -105 | -2.3% |
| Betfair ↗ | 225.5 | -110 | -1.2% | -110 | -3.3% |
| Betano ↗ | 225.5 | -115 | -2.2% | -108 | -2.9% |
| bet365 ↗ | 226 | -108 | -1.9% | -125 | -4.8% |
| William Hill ↗ | 225.5 | -125 | -4.0% | -110 | -3.3% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Orlando Magic 58% to beat Washington Wizards (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Orlando Magic the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Orlando Magic a 58% chance of beating Washington Wizards, against 42% for Washington Wizards. Orlando Magic are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Washington Wizards (3-3 so far) project to finish 30.6–51.4 and make the playoffs in 23% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Orlando Magic (2-4 so far) project to finish 41.2–40.8 and make the playoffs in 58% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Wizards | 30.6–51.4 | 5% | 23% |
| Orlando Magic | 41.2–40.8 | 22% | 58% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Washington Wizards and Orlando Magic come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Washington Wizards have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
Orlando Magic have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 63 times since 2010: Washington Wizards 31, Orlando Magic 32. The last meeting, on Mar 12, 2026, finished Washington Wizards 131, Orlando Magic 136.
Washington Wizards are 259-165 as favourite and 239-598 as underdog, and 211-452 on the road (32% of 663 games, 2010–2026).
Orlando Magic are 285-175 as favourite and 235-565 as underdog, and 323-337 at home (49% of 660 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | WAS | ORL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 259-165 | 285-175 |
| As underdog | 239-598 | 235-565 |
| At home | 318-345 | 323-337 |
| On the road | 211-452 | 224-442 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →