NBA
Chicago Bulls
1-5
Philadelphia 76ers
6-1
Win Probability
Philadelphia 76ers host the visiting Chicago Bulls in a matchup the simulation decisively favors the home side. Caleb Wilson projects to break 28 points, rebounds and assists with 50% probability, and Norman Powell has a 50% chance to exceed 23 in the same category, yet that firepower may not suffice against Joel Embiid, who has a 48% chance to clear 32 combined. The game turns on whether Chicago's scoring punch can keep pace with Philadelphia's offensive depth or whether the 76ers' balance wears down a Bulls roster that travels to a 6-1 team. AccuScore has won 69% of calls this decisively favoring the home side over 1,273 graded games. A Bulls upset would require both Wilson and Powell to deliver at the high end of their ranges while Philadelphia's stars underperform.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
1H CHI ML
CHI +282
+5.7% EV
28.3% leads · push 3.3%
Pinnacle ↗
1H PHI ML
PHI -312
-3.2% EV
68.4% leads · push 3.3%
bet365 ↗
2-way moneyline: a tie at the half returns the stake, so the tie is priced as a push.
1H Spread
CHI +6.5 -102
+2.2% EV
52.7% covers
Pinnacle ↗
1H Spread
PHI -6.5 -102
-3.2% EV
47.3% covers
Betano ↗
1H Total
O 116.5 -105
+12.3% EV
63.9% over
bet365 ↗
1H Total
U 116.5 -108
-15.2% EV
36.1% under
Pinnacle ↗
| Book | Line | PHI | EV | CHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -10.5 | -102 | -4.9% | -110 | +2.0% |
| Betfair ↗ | -10.5 | -125 | -9.0% | -110 | +2.0% |
| Betano ↗ | -10.5 | -111 | -6.8% | -110 | +2.0% |
| bet365 ↗ | -11 | -125 | -10.3% | -105 | +4.8% |
| Novig ↗ | -10.5 | +100 | -4.5% | -106 | +3.0% |
| Book | PHI | EV | CHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -524 | -4.0% | +426 | +9.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -513 | -3.8% | +434 | +10.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 238.5 | -108 | -1.0% | -106 | -2.3% |
| Betfair ↗ | 239.5 | -110 | -3.7% | -110 | -0.8% |
| Betano ↗ | 239.5 | -108 | -3.3% | -114 | -1.7% |
| bet365 ↗ | 238.5 | -135 | -5.7% | -105 | -2.1% |
| William Hill ↗ | 238.5 | -125 | -4.2% | -110 | -3.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 54.5%
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AccuScore's simulation makes Philadelphia 76ers 77% to beat Chicago Bulls (23%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Philadelphia 76ers the more likely winner at 77%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Philadelphia 76ers a 77% chance of beating Chicago Bulls, against 23% for Chicago Bulls. Philadelphia 76ers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Chicago Bulls (1-5 so far) project to finish 30.0–52.0 and make the playoffs in 22% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Philadelphia 76ers (6-1 so far) project to finish 43.6–38.4 and make the playoffs in 65% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bulls | 30.0–52.0 | 3% | 22% |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 43.6–38.4 | 11% | 65% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Chicago Bulls and Philadelphia 76ers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Chicago Bulls have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
Philadelphia 76ers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 59 times since 2010: Chicago Bulls 30, Philadelphia 76ers 29. The last meeting, on Mar 25, 2026, finished Chicago Bulls 137, Philadelphia 76ers 157.
Chicago Bulls are 400-202 as favourite and 230-435 as underdog, and 295-368 on the road (44% of 663 games, 2010–2026).
Philadelphia 76ers are 410-189 as favourite and 201-512 as underdog, and 378-309 at home (55% of 687 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | CHI | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 400-202 | 410-189 |
| As underdog | 230-435 | 201-512 |
| At home | 364-301 | 378-309 |
| On the road | 295-368 | 276-412 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →