NBA • Tue, Nov 3, 01:30
The Boston Celtics travel to face the Houston Rockets in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. Alperen Sengun has a 50% chance of exceeding 35 points, rebounds and assists, while Jayson Tatum sits at the same mark for 39 combined—a marginal separation that frames how tightly the rosters match. The game turns on depth: Houston's secondary scorers, led by Kevin Durant at 48% to beat 28, outnumber Boston's role players in projection likelihood.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Boston Celtics (5-1 so far) project to finish 57.5–24.5 and make the playoffs in 95% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Houston Rockets (6-1 so far) project to finish 54.9–27.1 and make the playoffs in 88% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Celtics | 57.5–24.5 | 57% | 95% |
| Houston Rockets | 54.9–27.1 | 45% | 88% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Rockets 61% to beat Boston Celtics (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Rockets the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Houston Rockets a 61% chance of beating Boston Celtics, against 39% for Boston Celtics. Houston Rockets are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Boston Celtics and Houston Rockets come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Boston Celtics have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
Houston Rockets have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 31 times since 2011: Boston Celtics 15, Houston Rockets 16. The last meeting, on Feb 4, 2026, finished Boston Celtics 114, Houston Rockets 93.
Boston Celtics are 667-291 as favourite and 165-262 as underdog, and 383-336 on the road (53% of 719 games, 2010–2026).
Houston Rockets are 545-250 as favourite and 179-334 as underdog, and 434-255 at home (63% of 689 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | BOS | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 667-291 | 545-250 |
| As underdog | 165-262 | 179-334 |
| At home | 496-234 | 434-255 |
| On the road | 383-336 | 309-376 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →