NBA • Tue, Nov 3, 03:00
The Golden State Warriors host the Phoenix Suns in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. Devin Booker has a 47% chance of exceeding 32 points, rebounds and assists, while Stephen Curry carries a 47% chance of surpassing 29—a near-even battle at the star level that masks Golden State's depth advantage across the roster. The game turns on whether Phoenix can generate consistent scoring beyond its lead creators; six Warriors players project at least a 46% chance of beating their thresholds, compared to five Suns.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Golden State Warriors 59% to beat Phoenix Suns (41%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Golden State Warriors the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Golden State Warriors a 59% chance of beating Phoenix Suns, against 41% for Phoenix Suns. Golden State Warriors are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Phoenix Suns (1-3 so far) project to finish 36.3–45.7 and make the playoffs in 34% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Golden State Warriors (4-3 so far) project to finish 45.1–36.9 and make the playoffs in 63% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns | 36.3–45.7 | 13% | 34% |
| Golden State Warriors | 45.1–36.9 | 35% | 63% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Phoenix Suns have won 1 of their last 4 (L-L-W-L, most recent first).
Golden State Warriors have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 64 times since 2010: Phoenix Suns 26, Golden State Warriors 38. The last meeting, on Oct 24, 2026, finished Golden State Warriors 122, Phoenix Suns 131.
Phoenix Suns are 370-194 as favourite and 217-482 as underdog, and 268-393 on the road (41% of 661 games, 2010–2026).
Golden State Warriors are 664-236 as favourite and 164-289 as underdog, and 487-224 at home (68% of 711 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | PHO | GS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 370-194 | 664-236 |
| As underdog | 217-482 | 164-289 |
| At home | 354-315 | 487-224 |
| On the road | 268-393 | 375-336 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →