NBA
Charlotte Hornets
3-5
Brooklyn Nets
1-6
Win Probability
The Charlotte Hornets travel to Brooklyn to face the Nets in a tight contest that the simulation slightly favours the visitors. Dennis Schroder has a 49% chance of exceeding 23 points, rebounds and assists, while Michael Porter sits at 49% for more than 27 combined. The game hinges on bench depth: Brooklyn's Moritz Wagner projects at 50% to beat 16 combined, the highest single projection on either roster, suggesting the Nets' secondary contributors could be decisive. AccuScore's model has returned 1.4% on games shaped like this one across 8382 East games, though that record broke even across eight similar matchups. For Brooklyn to pull the upset at home, it would need those role players to sustain that edge while holding Charlotte's balanced scoring attack in check.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | BRO | EV | CHA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair ↗ | +2.5 | -111 | -3.8% | -111 | -1.1% |
| Betano ↗ | +2.5 | -115 | -4.6% | -118 | -2.5% |
| bet365 ↗ | +2 | -105 | -3.9% | -120 | -1.4% |
| Novig ↗ | +1.5 | -153 | -12.2% | -178 | -7.6% |
| ProphetX ↗ | +2.5 | -107 | -3.0% | -132 | -4.8% |
| Book | BRO | EV | CHA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +118 | -2.4% | -148 | -2.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +127 | -0.4% | -145 | -2.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair ↗ | 214.5 | -111 | -3.0% | -111 | -2.0% |
| Betano ↗ | 214.5 | -115 | -3.7% | -118 | -3.4% |
| bet365 ↗ | 214 | -125 | -4.3% | -109 | -2.6% |
| William Hill ↗ | 214.5 | -118 | -4.3% | -118 | -3.4% |
| Novig ↗ | 240.5 | -8991 | -46.0% | -8991 | -3.4% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Charlotte Hornets 56% to beat Brooklyn Nets (44%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Charlotte Hornets the more likely winner at 56%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Brooklyn Nets a 44% chance of beating Charlotte Hornets, against 56% for Charlotte Hornets. Brooklyn Nets are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Charlotte Hornets (3-4 so far) project to finish 36.9–45.1 and make the playoffs in 43% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Brooklyn Nets (1-5 so far) project to finish 27.3–54.7 and make the playoffs in 16% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Hornets | 36.9–45.1 | 12% | 43% |
| Brooklyn Nets | 27.3–54.7 | 1% | 16% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Charlotte Hornets and Brooklyn Nets come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Charlotte Hornets have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
Brooklyn Nets have won 1 of their last 5 (L-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 58 times since 2010: Charlotte Hornets 27, Brooklyn Nets 31. The last meeting, on Oct 21, 2026, finished Charlotte Hornets 110, Brooklyn Nets 103.
Charlotte Hornets are 248-134 as favourite and 245-596 as underdog, and 218-429 on the road (34% of 647 games, 2010–2026).
Brooklyn Nets are 278-154 as favourite and 240-591 as underdog, and 312-353 at home (47% of 665 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | CHA | BRO |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 248-134 | 278-154 |
| As underdog | 245-596 | 240-591 |
| At home | 295-349 | 312-353 |
| On the road | 218-429 | 242-423 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →