La Liga • Sat, Nov 28, 17:30
Atlético Madrid travel to Elche in a fixture where the simulation strongly favours the visitors. The model projects a low-scoring contest, with Atlético Madrid winning decisively in roughly two of every three outcomes. For Elche to upset the projection, they would need to score multiple goals in a game the model expects to finish well below two combined.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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La Liga
AccuScore's simulation makes Atlético Madrid 65% to win, Elche 12%, with a 23% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Atlético Madrid the more likely winner at 65%, with a 23% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Elche a 12% chance of beating Atlético Madrid, with 65% for Atlético Madrid and 23% for a draw. Elche are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Atlético Madrid and Elche come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Atlético Madrid have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
Elche have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 2 (L-L-W-D-D, most recent first).
The teams have met 8 times since 2020: Atlético Madrid 5, Elche 2, 1 drawn. The last meeting, on Apr 22, 2026, finished Atlético Madrid 2, Elche 3.