Thunder vs Rockets Prediction (Oct 31): Rockets 55%

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NBA•FINAL

OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

4-2

HOU

Houston Rockets

6-1

119

Score by quarter

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
OKC	26	25	24	23	98
HOU	35	27	30	27	119

Win Probability

Moneyline

OKC

44.9% win prob

Moneyline

HOU

55.1% win prob

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadHOU -2.5

40.5-1.75-44

OKC Cover

48.7%

no odds at this line

HOU Cover

51.3%

no odds at this line

Total (Over/Under)O/U 220

176.5222.75269

Over Cover

48.3%

no odds at this line

Under Cover

49.5%

no odds at this line

Push 2.2% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

HOU OKC

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Season outlook

Oklahoma City Thunder (4-2 so far) project to finish 51.3–30.7 and make the playoffs in 81% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Houston Rockets (6-1 so far) project to finish 53.8–28.2 and make the playoffs in 86% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Team	Projected record	Division title	Playoffs
Oklahoma City Thunder	51.3–30.7	32%	81%
Houston Rockets	53.8–28.2	43%	86%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →

AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Rockets 55% to beat Oklahoma City Thunder (45%). Final score: Oklahoma City Thunder 98, Houston Rockets 119.

Projection updated Nov 1, 4:21 PM ET

Who will win Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets?

AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Rockets the more likely winner at 55%. The game finished Oklahoma City Thunder 98, Houston Rockets 119.

Will Houston Rockets beat Oklahoma City Thunder?

AccuScore's simulation gives Houston Rockets a 55% chance of beating Oklahoma City Thunder, against 45% for Oklahoma City Thunder. It finished Houston Rockets 119, Oklahoma City Thunder 98.

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Oklahoma City ThunderLWWWW

Oct 28at Dallas MavericksL 96–120
Oct 26vs Phoenix SunsW 125–114
Oct 25vs Los Angeles ClippersW 108–101
Oct 22vs Denver NuggetsW 96–84
Oct 20at San Antonio SpursW 116–104

Oklahoma City Thunder have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).

Houston RocketsLWWWW

Oct 30at Dallas MavericksL 111–116
Oct 28at Milwaukee BucksW 132–100
Oct 26vs Atlanta HawksW 120–110
Oct 24at Atlanta HawksW 121–114
Oct 23at San Antonio SpursW 114–110

Houston Rockets have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 71 times since 2010: Oklahoma City Thunder 36, Houston Rockets 35. The last meeting, on Feb 7, 2026, finished Houston Rockets 112, Oklahoma City Thunder 106.

Feb 7, 2026HOU 112 – 106 OKC
Jan 15, 2026OKC 111 – 91 HOU
Oct 21, 2025HOU 124 – 125 OKC
Apr 4, 2025OKC 111 – 125 HOU
Mar 3, 2025HOU 128 – 137 OKC

Every Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets meeting →

Betting trends

Oklahoma City Thunder are 682-252 as favourite and 160-271 as underdog, and 377-332 on the road (53% of 709 games, 2010–2026).

Houston Rockets are 544-250 as favourite and 179-334 as underdog, and 433-255 at home (63% of 688 games, 2010–2026).

Record	OKC	HOU
As favourite	682-252	544-250
As underdog	160-271	179-334
At home	495-221	433-255
On the road	377-332	309-376

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →

Score by quarter

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Season outlook

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Who will win Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets?

Will Houston Rockets beat Oklahoma City Thunder?

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

Recent form

Head-to-head

Betting trends