Winthrop
Queens University
Win Probability
Winthrop travels to Queens University in a matchup the simulation judges as a coin-flip, with the home side favored barely. The outcome hinges on three-point shooting: if either team's perimeter game catches fire, it could break what projects as an evenly matched contest. AccuScore's model has won 5 of 8 games shaped like this one statistically. Queens University would need to lean on its depth and home-court rhythm to pull away, while Winthrop's path to victory runs through staying composed on the road and limiting second-chance opportunities.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | QU | EV | WIN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -155 | -7.3% | +130 | +5.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -137 | -5.1% | +114 | +1.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -150 | -6.8% | +125 | +4.1% |
| Caesars ↗ | -160 | -7.8% | +135 | +6.5% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -150 | -6.8% | +130 | +5.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 168.5 | -108 | -7.8% | -112 | +3.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 167.5 | -110 | -5.7% | -110 | +1.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 168.5 | -110 | -8.2% | -110 | +3.6% |
| Caesars ↗ | 168 | -110 | -6.9% | -110 | +2.5% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 168.5 | -110 | -8.2% | -110 | +3.6% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 48.1%
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Winthrop project to finish 16.1–11.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 27% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Queens University project to finish 16.2–15.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 25% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winthrop | 16.1–11.9 | 20% | 27% |
| Queens University | 16.2–15.8 | 22% | 25% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Queens University 52% to beat Winthrop (48%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Queens University the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Queens University a 52% chance of beating Winthrop, against 48% for Winthrop. Queens University are at home and favoured on these numbers.