NCAAB • Mon, Nov 2, 23:00
Bowling Green travels to face Georgia State in a matchup the model leans slightly toward the home side. The game hinges on three-point shooting; Georgia State's perimeter volume projects to decisive advantage here, while Bowling Green will need efficient scoring to stay close. Across eight prior games with similar win-probability shapes, the model's side has won five.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Georgia State 57% to beat Bowling Green (43%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Georgia State the more likely winner at 57%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Georgia State a 57% chance of beating Bowling Green, against 43% for Bowling Green. Georgia State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Bowling Green project to finish 16.2–12.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 18% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Georgia State project to finish 12.0–17.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green | 16.2–12.8 | 12% | 18% |
| Georgia State | 12.0–17.0 | 3% | 5% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →