NCAAB
Central Connecticut
Temple
Win Probability
Central Connecticut travels to Temple in a contest where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The model projects a low-scoring affair that turns on perimeter shooting and ball security—both teams' efficiency from three and turnover rates will determine whether this stays close or widens. Across eight statistically similar matchups, AccuScore's pick went 8-0. For Central Connecticut to pull the upset, it would need to dominate the boards and force Temple into uncharacteristic mistakes while staying efficient itself; the projection suggests that outcome has little probability.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | TEM | EV | CCSU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -1600 | -4.4% | +900 | +21.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -2000 | -5.0% | +980 | +26.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -1200 | -3.5% | +750 | +10.3% |
| Caesars ↗ | -1600 | -4.4% | +900 | +21.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -2500 | -5.4% | +1100 | +35.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 143.5 | -112 | -4.2% | -108 | -0.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 143.5 | -115 | -4.8% | -105 | +0.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 143.5 | -115 | -4.8% | -105 | +0.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -3.8% | -110 | -0.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -3.8% | -110 | -0.7% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Temple 86% to beat Central Connecticut (14%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Temple the more likely winner at 86%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Temple a 86% chance of beating Central Connecticut, against 14% for Central Connecticut. Temple are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Central Connecticut project to finish 11.9–15.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 18% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Temple project to finish 14.5–13.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 14% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Connecticut | 11.9–15.1 | 13% | 18% |
| Temple | 14.5–13.5 | 8% | 14% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →