NCAAB
Loyola Maryland
Georgetown
Win Probability
Georgetown hosts Loyola Maryland in a game where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The Hoyas' depth will be critical: Georgetown's frontcourt is projected to dominate, with interior scoring likely to set the tone early. Loyola Maryland will need to generate offense efficiently from the perimeter to stay competitive, but containment of Georgetown's interior threats figures to be the decisive factor. On similar matchups, AccuScore's model has gone 8 for 8. For the Greyhounds to pull the upset, they would need to shoot well from distance and force Georgetown into an uncharacteristic shooting slump.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | GTWN | EV | L-MD | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -20000 | -2.7% | +3500 | +54.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -30000 | -2.7% | +5000 | +97.9% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -10000 | -2.4% | +3000 | +39.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -3582 | -1.6% | +393 | -35.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -4.4% | -110 | -0.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -4.4% | -110 | -0.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 150.5 | -105 | -3.3% | -115 | -1.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -4.4% | -110 | -0.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | -4.4% | -110 | -0.2% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
AccuScore's simulation makes Georgetown 94% to beat Loyola Maryland (6%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Georgetown the more likely winner at 94%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Georgetown a 94% chance of beating Loyola Maryland, against 6% for Loyola Maryland. Georgetown are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Loyola Maryland project to finish 12.8–15.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Georgetown project to finish 16.3–14.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 24% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loyola Maryland | 12.8–15.2 | 10% | 11% |
| Georgetown | 16.3–14.7 | 6% | 24% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →