Northeastern
Boston University
Win Probability
Northeastern travels to Boston University in a matchup where the simulation favors the home side clearly. The game hinges on offensive execution: if either team's scoring approaches the upper end of its range, the total climbs, but both squads project to finish in a tight band around 75 points. On games with this win-probability shape, AccuScore's model has gone 5–3 across eight comparable fixtures. For Northeastern to pull the upset, the Huskies would need to build a lead and force Boston University into catch-up mode, a difficult task on the road against a team the model expects to control pace.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | BU | EV | NE | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -122 | +2.5% | +102 | -7.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -111 | +4.8% | -108 | -9.3% |
| Caesars ↗ | -125 | +1.9% | +105 | -6.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -125 | +1.9% | +105 | -6.6% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -112 | +4.6% | -114 | -10.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 150.5 | -105 | -0.5% | -115 | -3.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 149.5 | -115 | -0.5% | -105 | -4.1% |
| Caesars ↗ | 150 | -110 | -0.5% | -110 | -4.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 150.5 | -105 | -0.5% | -115 | -3.9% |
| BetRivers ↗ | 149.5 | -112 | +0.2% | -114 | -5.9% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 57.7%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston University 58% to beat Northeastern (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston University the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Boston University a 58% chance of beating Northeastern, against 42% for Northeastern. Boston University are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Northeastern project to finish 12.3–19.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Boston University project to finish 15.7–14.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 17% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northeastern | 12.3–19.7 | 4% | 7% |
| Boston University | 15.7–14.3 | 16% | 17% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →