Long Island University
Florida Atlantic
Win Probability
Long Island University travels to face Florida Atlantic in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the home side. The Owls project to win by roughly 8 points, with the game's outcome hinging on whether Long Island can generate enough perimeter scoring to stay close. In 8 comparable games with similar win-probability shapes, AccuScore's model has sided with the favoured team 7 times. For Long Island to pull off the upset, the visitors would need to overcome Florida Atlantic's homecourt advantage and execute at a level the projection suggests is unlikely in this fixture.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | FAU | EV | LIU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -575 | -5.4% | +425 | +13.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -850 | -7.5% | +570 | +30.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | -650 | -6.2% | +460 | +17.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -650 | -6.2% | +425 | +13.0% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -670 | -6.3% | +440 | +14.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 153.5 | -112 | -7.9% | -108 | +3.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 153.5 | -110 | -7.5% | -110 | +3.0% |
| Caesars ↗ | 153.5 | -110 | -7.5% | -110 | +3.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 153.5 | -110 | -7.5% | -110 | +3.0% |
| BetRivers ↗ | 153.5 | -114 | -8.2% | -112 | +2.5% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Florida Atlantic 76% to beat Long Island University (24%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Florida Atlantic the more likely winner at 76%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Florida Atlantic a 76% chance of beating Long Island University, against 24% for Long Island University. Florida Atlantic are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Long Island University project to finish 15.6–15.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 31% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Florida Atlantic project to finish 14.7–14.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 16% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long Island University | 15.6–15.4 | 25% | 31% |
| Florida Atlantic | 14.7–14.3 | 8% | 16% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →