New Hampshire
Brown
Win Probability
New Hampshire travels to Brown in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the home side. The Bruins' advantage hinges on perimeter shooting: Brown's offence projects to exploit spacing in ways that New Hampshire's defence must contain to stay competitive. Across eight similarly shaped games in the model's history, the favoured side won seven times. For the Wildcats to pull the upset, they would need to force turnovers and limit Brown's second-chance opportunities, compressing what is currently projected as a comfortable margin.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | BRWN | EV | UNH | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -470 | -4.2% | +360 | +6.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -400 | -2.8% | +310 | +0.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -500 | -4.7% | +360 | +6.3% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -435 | -3.6% | +310 | +0.2% |
| Hard Rock Bet ↗ | -425 | -3.4% | +300 | -1.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -2.1% | -110 | -2.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 143.5 | -115 | -3.1% | -105 | -1.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -2.1% | -110 | -2.5% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -2.1% | -110 | -2.5% |
| BetRivers ↗ | 142.5 | -129 | -3.0% | +100 | -2.9% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Brown 76% to beat New Hampshire (25%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Brown the more likely winner at 76%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Brown a 76% chance of beating New Hampshire, against 25% for New Hampshire. Brown are at home and favoured on these numbers.
New Hampshire project to finish 11.9–19.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Brown project to finish 13.1–13.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Hampshire | 11.9–19.1 | 7% | 7% |
| Brown | 13.1–13.9 | 8% | 12% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →