NCAAB
Eastern Michigan
Coastal Carolina
Win Probability
Eastern Michigan travels to face Coastal Carolina in a close matchup where the simulation leans slightly toward the home side. The game hinges on perimeter shooting: if Eastern Michigan can sustain offensive efficiency, the Eagles have a genuine path to victory, but Coastal Carolina's ability to execute at home makes them the marginal favourite. On games with similar win-probability distributions, AccuScore's model has won 5 of 8. For Eastern Michigan to pull the upset, they would need to overcome the typical home-court advantage and force Coastal Carolina into a lower-efficiency night.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | CCU | EV | EMU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -115 | +2.3% | -105 | -7.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -113 | +2.8% | -106 | -7.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -118 | +1.7% | -102 | -6.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | -110 | +3.5% | -110 | -8.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -115 | +2.3% | -105 | -7.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 141.5 | -112 | -1.2% | -108 | -3.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 142.5 | -114 | -4.0% | -106 | -0.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 142.5 | -105 | -2.2% | -115 | -2.3% |
| Caesars ↗ | 142 | -110 | -1.9% | -110 | -2.5% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 142.5 | -115 | -4.2% | -105 | -0.2% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 56.0%
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AccuScore's simulation makes Coastal Carolina 56% to beat Eastern Michigan (44%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Coastal Carolina the more likely winner at 56%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Coastal Carolina a 56% chance of beating Eastern Michigan, against 44% for Eastern Michigan. Coastal Carolina are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Eastern Michigan project to finish 11.7–16.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Coastal Carolina project to finish 13.0–16.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Michigan | 11.7–16.3 | 4% | 7% |
| Coastal Carolina | 13.0–16.0 | 6% | 9% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →