NCAAB • Tue, Nov 3, 00:00
Western Michigan travels to Old Dominion in a matchup the simulation sees as a coin-flip, with the Monarchs favored barely. The game projects to a near-standstill, hinging on pace and three-point shooting—whether either team can generate consistent looks from deep will likely determine the outcome. For Western Michigan to pull the upset on the road, the Broncos would need to control tempo and limit Old Dominion's shooting efficiency in the final minutes.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Old Dominion 52% to beat Western Michigan (49%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Old Dominion the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Old Dominion a 52% chance of beating Western Michigan, against 49% for Western Michigan. Old Dominion are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Western Michigan project to finish 11.5–16.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Old Dominion project to finish 14.0–15.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan | 11.5–16.5 | 4% | 7% |
| Old Dominion | 14.0–15.0 | 7% | 9% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →