NCAAB
Saint Peter's
Seton Hall
Win Probability
Saint Peter's travels to face Seton Hall in a matchup the simulation decisively favours the home side. Seton Hall's balanced offensive load shows Kareem Thomas at 49% to exceed 23 points, rebounds and assists, while Bryce Eaton carries Saint Peter's scoring hopes at 50% for more than 20 combined. The game turns on whether Saint Peter's can generate stops; the simulation projects Seton Hall to 76 points, a total that would require the visitors to play nearly flawlessly. Across eight prior games with similar win-probability shapes, the favoured side went 8-0. An upset would require Saint Peter's to exceed its projected output significantly while holding Seton Hall well below forecast.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | HALL | EV | SPU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -5000 | -2.4% | +1800 | +13.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -7000 | -2.7% | +2000 | +20.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -5000 | -2.4% | +1500 | +3.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -10000 | -2.9% | +2500 | +37.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -5165 | -2.4% | +1443 | +1.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 133.5 | -115 | -2.1% | -105 | -2.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 134.5 | -110 | -3.8% | -110 | -0.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 133.5 | -115 | -2.1% | -105 | -2.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 134 | -110 | -2.4% | -110 | -2.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 133.5 | -115 | -2.1% | -105 | -2.4% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
AccuScore's simulation makes Seton Hall 93% to beat Saint Peter's (7%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Seton Hall the more likely winner at 93%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Seton Hall a 93% chance of beating Saint Peter's, against 7% for Saint Peter's. Seton Hall are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Saint Peter's project to finish 15.2–13.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 13% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Seton Hall project to finish 17.1–13.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 32% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Peter's | 15.2–13.8 | 11% | 13% |
| Seton Hall | 17.1–13.9 | 8% | 32% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →