Campbell
NC State
Win Probability
Moneyline
CAM
+3000
6.0% win prob
EV +43.0%
theScore Bet
Moneyline
NCSU
-4506
94.0% win prob
EV -2.0%
Polymarket
Campbell travels to face NC State in a matchup the model strongly favours the home side to win. The Wolfpack's depth and efficiency should prove decisive, though Campbell will need efficient perimeter shooting and ball control to stay competitive. On games with this win-probability shape, AccuScore's picks have gone 8 for 8 across similar matchups, a perfect record built on heavily favoured home teams delivering. For Campbell to pull off the upset, they would need to force turnovers relentlessly and convert at a rate well above their season norms while NC State misfires from outside.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | NCSU | EV | CAM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -8000 | -2.4% | +2200 | +19.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -10000 | -2.5% | +2400 | +25.0% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -10000 | -2.5% | +2000 | +13.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -20000 | -2.8% | +3000 | +43.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -4506 | -2.0% | +1719 | +4.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 158.5 | -110 | -3.4% | -110 | -1.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 159.5 | -112 | -6.2% | -108 | +1.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 158.5 | -115 | -4.4% | -105 | -0.0% |
| Caesars ↗ | 158.5 | -110 | -3.4% | -110 | -1.1% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 158.5 | -110 | -3.4% | -110 | -1.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes NC State 94% to beat Campbell (6%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes NC State the more likely winner at 94%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives NC State a 94% chance of beating Campbell, against 6% for Campbell. NC State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Campbell project to finish 16.1–15.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 18% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
NC State project to finish 18.0–13.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 34% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →