NCAAB • Tue, Nov 3, 01:00
Siena travels to face Bryant in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the visiting Saints. The contest hinges on three-point shooting: Siena's Jaysun Herndon projects to exceed 2.5 made threes at 60%, while Bryant's Nicolas Herrera sits at just 35% to reach that mark, a gap that could prove decisive in a close game. For Bryant to pull off the upset at home, the Bulldogs would need Herrera to find his stroke from distance while containing Herndon's volume from beyond the arc.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Siena 62% to beat Bryant (38%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Siena the more likely winner at 62%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Bryant a 38% chance of beating Siena, against 62% for Siena. Bryant are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Siena project to finish 18.0–14.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 23% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Bryant project to finish 10.9–19.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →